ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
   WOUS40 KWNS 271632
   ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-280030-
   
   PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1032 AM CST SUN NOV 27 2005
   
   VALID 271632Z - 280030Z
   
   ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS
   INTO MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
   
   THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS FORECASTING THE
   DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS OVER PARTS
   OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
   TONIGHT.
   
   THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
   
          WESTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS
          EASTERN KANSAS
          SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI
   
   SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CENTRAL KANSAS AND FAR EASTERN
   OKLAHOMA/TEXAS ACROSS THE LOWER AND MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEYS.
   
   A VERY POTENT WEATHER SYSTEM CONTINUES TO DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS BRINGING AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
   FORECAST REGION.  THE AIR MASS WILL BECOME UNSEASONABLY WARM AND
   MOIST AT THE SURFACE...WHILE WINDS ALOFT BECOME INCREASINGLY 
   STRONG.  THUS...PARAMETERS ARE BECOMING FAVORABLE FOR AN OUTBREAK OF
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS...FROM EARLY THIS
   AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.
   
   THIS POTENTIAL OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN OVER
   PORTIONS OF KANSAS AND FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA/WESTERN ARKANSAS EARLY
   THIS AFTERNOON.  ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY FORM INTO A LARGE SQUALL LINE
   ALONG AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT/DRY LINE NOW MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH
   OKLAHOMA AND CONTINUING ACROSS THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER
   VALLEYS THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  VERY STRONG WIND SHEAR
   WILL SUPPORT A THREAT OF TORNADOES AND WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS
   BOTH WITH THE SQUALL LINE AND ANY ISOLATED SUPERCELLS PERSISTING
   AHEAD OF THE MAIN LINE OF STORMS.  VERY COLD AIR ALOFT WILL ALSO
   FAVOR LARGE HAIL WITH STORMS INTO KANSAS...WESTERN MISSOURI AND
   ARKANSAS.  GIVEN THE MAGNITUDE OF THE FORECAST SHEAR...ENSUING
   TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS COULD BE QUITE STRONG/DESTRUCTIVE.
   
   THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
   SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
   RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
   
   ..MCCARTHY.. 11/27/2005
   
   $$