DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1129 AM CDT SAT APR 15 2006 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 35947512 36227763 37078389 38138827 38529019 37929260 37029417 35689535 35219638 35429721 36289739 37929745 39359820 40379902 40700065 41830177 43170057 43579852 43509599 42259091 40938884 39878702 39378512 39588227 39997780 40267593 40137449 39307373 0.05 38879655 39689728 40759790 41209863 41449941 41899983 42489952 42659874 42829740 42489597 41749409 41029261 40339193 39649178 39249210 38799288 38499399 38329534 38879655 0.10 39869682 41189758 41849715 41809623 41459513 40759440 39579461 39509595 39869682 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 34137738 36098310 37209121 36789303 36209392 35389565 35209621 35239674 35479721 35929748 36629776 37669811 38279920 38820052 40340262 41170377 41970428 42800418 43580353 45339952 45849711 45779558 40688297 40318058 40587926 41177669 41357505 41227377 40397255 0.15 35997495 36247808 37178386 37688647 38609068 38419390 37569599 37789740 39569834 40269911 40730084 41970183 42980085 43579852 43589614 42449103 40948899 39578643 39088446 39538133 40297601 40117455 39337382 0.30 38869455 38829569 39339714 40119789 40459884 40709984 41450081 42290074 43019900 43339660 43019491 42069300 41089237 39649280 38869455 0.45 40259719 40979758 41589744 41879676 41609551 40929434 40109434 39419517 39509622 40259719 SIGN 38219526 38349669 39689710 40759805 41729831 42209681 41789531 41059390 39489392 38219526 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34177727 35528160 36688850 36769267 36229395 35369568 35239636 35259697 35669733 36539757 37809824 38689982 40370279 41530383 42750319 43410103 43529842 41958963 40218580 39928326 40467877 40947685 41507477 41097359 40367249 0.15 35897509 36177770 36878198 37278442 38198812 38479042 38439354 37499634 37819749 39399806 40339897 40820052 42130161 42990055 43299791 41148991 40178790 39518626 39178457 39458307 39767971 40377602 40117455 39387384 0.30 38539534 38879646 39619719 40649809 41289868 41899851 42209720 41929506 41389367 41089304 40559247 40009234 39119303 38539403 38539534 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 39419521 39399622 39839682 40869753 41659734 41839662 41689550 41269485 40969443 40469432 39829455 39419521 SLGT 35967506 36247757 36878198 37268456 38168817 38559023 38529381 37429630 37749736 39469811 40419893 40700070 41870182 43140056 43619857 43509594 42379104 41128929 40188771 39538635 39218479 39748058 40337604 40127459 39317388 TSTM 48579304 47029276 45759162 44678986 41438345 40968152 41547597 42377455 43987384 45137432 99999999 33937730 34837975 35718859 35819469 35189634 35269700 35639725 37749817 38479989 39150673 40600850 41360881 42550874 43860715 44930451 47500299 49020312 TSTM 49211641 44931618 43631515 43101474 42781527 42831735 41522283 40392524 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW FLV 30 NE MHK 30 S BIE 40 W LNK 15 N OLU 25 W TQE 20 SSW DNS 45 NE SDA 35 NW LWD 25 WSW LWD 20 E STJ 15 WNW FLV. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 NNE HSE 15 SSE RZZ 35 NE TRI 30 WNW LOZ 35 WNW EVV 15 SSE STL 20 SW SZL 50 NNW BVO ICT 25 WSW CNK 20 S EAR 30 S LBF 40 WSW MHN 20 N VTN 30 WSW MHE 20 WSW OTG 15 W DBQ 35 WSW MMO DNV 15 SSW IND 20 WNW LUK 30 S HLG 40 SW ABE 15 WNW NEL 40 ESE ACY. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 E INL 25 S HIB 60 N EAU 10 SW CWA 20 ESE TOL CAK 20 NW AVP 45 SW ALB 35 SSE SLK 30 ENE MSS ...CONT... 40 SE ILM 35 SW SOP 20 ENE MKL 30 WSW FYV 40 WNW MLC 35 SSW CQB 25 WSW CQB 30 SW HUT 50 N DDC 10 ESE ASE 50 W CAG 20 SE RKS 20 S LND 40 E WRL 45 NNE 81V 50 N DIK 65 NNE ISN. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 NE 63S MYL 45 WNW SUN 35 SW SUN 45 WNW TWF 30 ENE REO 30 WNW MHS 65 WSW EKA.