DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0839 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2006 VALID TIME 170100Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 33070093 33460144 34550148 35590101 37359968 39869792 40919750 41709731 42629740 43759818 44619978 45510020 46379986 47459862 47979698 47809560 47429435 46269297 43949190 41639197 40059293 37639505 34379830 33609920 33260007 33070093 0.05 35209931 35459979 36089975 37319905 39959741 40739714 41529702 42749694 43649737 44469868 45299916 45959906 46669836 46929684 46659518 45179330 43189263 41629287 39659410 37609613 35499812 35199868 35209931 0.10 38969679 39539702 41019666 41739653 42839635 43549634 44449689 44949702 45479671 45799639 45679505 44699374 43559331 41999345 40489444 39349548 38939618 38969679 0.15 40699583 41069618 41979600 42929568 43789582 44479628 45009636 45259605 45189534 44699453 43559404 42239409 41759437 40839506 40699583 SIGN 40109612 40379651 40859662 41649657 42809631 43519630 44519689 44949702 45549676 45859626 45619496 44699382 43559331 42089348 40789439 40189553 40109612 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 30470491 32240420 36540120 40339825 41709821 42749924 43780106 44780164 46090170 46940120 49129938 99999999 48068754 44438877 41029034 38729218 36529426 32609839 31070009 29710191 0.15 48709353 46289168 43879096 41599136 40119234 37249481 35539645 33369885 33030005 33070093 33460155 34660156 37869941 39829796 40739758 41439739 42689736 43669813 44559969 45840054 47329979 48999796 0.30 35179928 35429979 36119976 37049911 39989726 41749690 42719681 43679745 44379855 45149897 45739905 46189880 46509826 46959656 46529510 45309329 44159278 42719259 41419285 39599403 37659609 35589805 35169868 35179928 0.45 40129565 40139631 40619662 41199654 42079632 43119626 43989685 44669702 45449685 45859630 45649505 44699365 43569340 41999357 40439480 40129565 SIGN 40169623 40559659 41109658 41769633 43089626 43859677 44639707 45449689 45859626 45619514 44699369 43499332 42059352 40409473 40159553 40169623 && ... WIND ... 0.05 30470491 31910435 37700034 40459825 41159827 41849882 42059978 42400155 43120273 44740274 46610158 49029943 99999999 48178741 44368874 41089033 39039199 37009383 32789816 31120007 29740191 0.15 48609354 46349163 43939095 41659135 40079230 38109405 35999609 34359768 33309895 33039995 33010093 33350143 34460161 35490114 38139920 39929784 40989738 42079793 43189998 44250093 45700071 47329988 49029791 0.30 37429684 37699747 38349781 39119779 40139730 41589670 42409636 43399630 44359694 44979702 45389680 45859621 45799500 45319369 44459271 42929240 41769265 40299343 38029503 37509572 37429684 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 40239645 40499663 40949662 41619649 42459632 43349626 44349693 44989705 45459681 45809622 45609499 44749376 43429329 42069351 40959427 40469489 40179561 40239645 SLGT 48579363 46249164 43939095 41659139 40059238 38219397 35969601 34339768 33269901 33010020 33070105 33420154 34470157 35430116 36970002 38329908 40139777 41529727 42629731 43669809 44619978 45830063 47299983 49099791 TSTM 30048619 30238490 30238363 30118228 29758093 TSTM 34547610 37057748 38257753 38977692 39657543 39847428 39817349 TSTM 30400497 31240469 32340408 33820316 36820097 39689874 40599820 41189827 41599877 41549942 41330030 41020160 40990293 41300387 42320479 43720484 47280260 49110071 99999999 46468368 44328606 40668915 37939162 36309264 34409287 32599187 31139049 30248878 29928742 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ESE BIE 15 NNE BIE 10 NE LNK 20 WSW TQE SUX 30 SE FSD BKX ATY 20 WNW VVV 35 NNE VVV 25 SE AXN 30 WSW MSP 20 N MCW 40 NNE DSM 30 NW LWD 35 SE SDA FNB 15 ESE BIE. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W INL 40 WSW ASX 15 ENE LSE 25 SE CID 10 ESE IRK 40 SSW SZL 20 SSW TUL 40 W ADM 55 SSW SPS 50 NW ABI 60 SE LBB 25 SE LBB 25 NNE PVW 25 SE BGD 50 NNW GAG 40 SSW RSL 40 N CNK OLU 20 S YKN 10 SSW MHE 30 ENE PIR 25 NNW MBG 55 NE BIS 50 WNW HCO. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WSW PFN 35 WSW TLH 45 SSW VLD 30 N GNV 30 ESE SGJ. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW HSE 30 SSW RIC 50 SSW DCA 10 NE DCA 10 ESE ILG 15 SSE NEL 50 ESE NEL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W MRF 40 S GDP 10 E CNM 40 SSE CVS 15 S LBL 55 N RSL 10 E HSI 15 N GRI 25 ESE BUB 15 NE BBW 25 NE LBF 35 N IML 10 SSE SNY 40 SSW BFF 35 WNW TOR 45 S 81V 35 NNE DIK 65 NNE MOT ...CONT... 35 E ANJ 10 ENE MBL 20 NW BMI 15 SSE VIH 10 NW FLP 15 ESE HOT 10 ENE MLU MCB 20 ESE GPT 40 SSW PNS.