May 24, 2006 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed May 24 20:04:16 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20060524 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20060524 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20060524 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20060524 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 242001
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0301 PM CDT WED MAY 24 2006
   
   VALID 242000Z - 251200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF SRN WI/ERN
   IA/NWRN IL/NERN MO...
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE MID AND UPPER MS
   VALLEY INTO THE OZARKS...
   
   ...OZARKS INTO THE MID AND UPPER MO VALLEY...
   THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS WRN WI/CENTRAL AND NRN IL
   AND INTO PARTS OF MO AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...WHERE AIRMASS HAS BECOME
   MODERATELY UNSTABLE.  AS UPPER LOW NOW OVER ERN ND MOVES SLOWLY
   SEWD...EXPECT SWLY LOW-LEVEL JET TO INCREASE BENEATH MODERATE WNWLY
   FLOW AT MID-LEVELS.  RESULTING SHEAR WILL THUS CONTINUE TO FAVOR
   SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS ACROSS THIS REGION.  
   
   ALONG WITH THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND A COUPLE OF
   TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY AS STORM COVERAGE INCREASES.  CONVECTION MAY
   EVOLVE INTO ONE OR MORE SEVERE MCS LATER THIS EVENING...THOUGH EWD
   EXTENT OF THREAT INTO INDIANA SHOULD REMAIN LIMITED DUE TO
   COOLER/MORE STABLE AIRMASS E OF NNW-ESE WARM FRONT NOW OVER WI/IL.
   
   ...NRN FL/FL PANHANDLE...
   A COUPLE OF PULSE-TYPE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING MARGINAL HAIL OR
   BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON WITHIN
   MOIST/MARGINALLY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS INDICATED INVOF SEA-BREEZE
   BOUNDARY ACROSS THE FL PANHANDLE/NRN FL.  THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH
   RAPIDLY THIS EVENING.
   
   ..GOSS.. 05/24/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z