Dec 4, 2006 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 4 00:48:10 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20061204 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20061204 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20061204 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20061204 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 040045
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0645 PM CST SUN DEC 03 2006
   
   VALID 040100Z - 041200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   A LARGE MS VALLEY UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE EWD REACHING THE
   APPALACHIAN MTNS LATE TONIGHT. AT THE SFC...COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL
   SETTLE INTO THE SCNTRL UNITED STATES. THIS WILL RESULT IN NLY FLOW
   ACROSS MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS AND SERN U.S. WHICH WILL LIMIT
   LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE EXCEPT ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. A SFC LOW
   CURRENTLY EXISTS OFF THE COAST OF WILMINGTON NC AND THIS FEATURE
   WILL MOVE NWD TO NEAR CAPE HATTERAS TONIGHT. STRONG LOW-LEVEL
   CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SFC LOW MAY ALLOW THUNDERSTORMS TO INITIATE
   LATE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE LIGHTNING WITH THE
   CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 12/04/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z