Jan 4, 2006 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 4 07:03:36 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table in HTML, or PDF formats.
Categorical Graphic
20060104 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20060104 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 040702
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0102 AM CST WED JAN 04 2006
   
   VALID 061200Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   MODELS INDICATE THAT THE WESTERN U.S. RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
   DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD...AS A SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE PROGRESSES
   OUT OF THE EASTERN PACIFIC...THROUGH THE BROADER SCALE ANTICYCLONIC
   FLOW REGIME ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN INTERMOUNTAIN
   REGION.  HOWEVER...AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL PERSIST DOWNSTREAM.  THE
   EASTERN U.S. TROUGH MAY EVEN SHARPEN SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE EASTERN
   GULF OF MEXICO/FLORIDA PENINSULA EARLY FRIDAY...IN RESPONSE TO
   DIGGING SHORT WAVE TROUGH...BEFORE ITS AXIS BEGINS TO SHIFT TOWARD
   THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
   
   UPPER DEVELOPMENTS WILL ALLOW BROAD SURFACE RIDGING FROM THE
   INTERMOUNTAIN WEST INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO TO BEGIN TO WEAKEN...BUT
   NOT ENOUGH FOR SIGNIFICANT MODIFICATION/MOISTENING OF BOUNDARY
   LAYER. WITH SURFACE FRONT ANTICIPATED TO HAVE PROGRESSED EAST OF
   ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS BY 12Z FRIDAY...CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL SEEMS
   LIKELY TO REMAIN VERY LOW ACROSS THE NATION THROUGH THIS FORECAST
   PERIOD AND BEYOND.
   
   ..KERR.. 01/04/2006
   
   ...NOTICE...
   THE STATION RELATIVE POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL BE
   DISCONTINUED ON 14 FEBRUARY 2006 BUT WILL REMAIN AVAILABLE
   IN THE FOLLOWING PRODUCTS:
   
      WMO HEADER:       AWIPS ID:
      WUUS01            PTSDY1
      WUUS02            PTSDY2
      WUUS03            PTSDY3
   
   A SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE ...SCN05-39... PROVIDES DETAILS
   ON THE TRANSITION. FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS SEE THE FOLLOWING
   WEB ADDRESS USING LOWER CASE LETTERS:
   WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/OM/NOTIF.HTM
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z