Nov 10, 2006 1100 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Fri Nov 10 07:35:39 UTC 2006
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20061110 1100 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20061110 1100 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
   SPC AC 100733
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0133 AM CST FRI NOV 10 2006
   
   VALID 121200Z - 131200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ASIDE FROM THE UPPER LOW MOVING SLOWLY NEWD ACROSS THE DELMARVA
   REGION AND INTO THE ATLANTIC...THE MAIN UPPER FEATURE WILL BE A
   TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE PLAINS.
   
   AS THIS FEATURE MOVES EWD...COLD FRONT -- WHICH SHOULD EXTEND FROM
   CENTRAL FL WWD ACROSS GULF AT THE START OF THE PERIOD -- WILL LIKELY
   DRIFT NWD AS A WARM FRONT INTO TX.  THOUGH MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER IS
   EXPECTED S OF FRONT...MODELS INDICATE WARM TEMPERATURES -- AND THUS
   A CAPPING INVERSION -- IN THE 850 TO 700 MB LAYER.  WITH THIS CAP
   SUGGESTING LITTLE POTENTIAL FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION -- AT LEAST
   UNTIL VERY LATE IN THE PERIOD...A SEVERE THREAT IS NOT INDICATED
   ATTM.
   
   ..GOSS.. 11/10/2006
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z