SPC AC 030541
DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1141 PM CST SAT DEC 02 2006
VALID 051200Z - 061200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
MODELS INDICATE LITTLE CHANGE TO THE LARGE-SCALE PATTERN THROUGH
THIS FORECAST PERIOD...WITH A LARGE-SCALE TROUGH PERSISTING IN THE
POLAR WESTERLIES EAST OF THE ROCKIES INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
CENTER OF LARGE SURFACE HIGH...LIKELY OVER THE CENTRAL GULF STATES
AT 12Z TUESDAY...IS PROGGED TO BEGIN RETREATING...WITH SOME
MODIFICATION/MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER OVER THE GULF OF
MEXICO. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL RIDGING IS FORECAST TO LINGER ALONG
GULF COASTAL AREAS TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT...PRECLUDING A SIGNIFICANT
INLAND RETURN FLOW. AND...IN THE WAKE OF ANOTHER AMPLIFYING SHORT
WAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL STATES...ANOTHER COLD SURFACE
RIDGE WILL BEGIN DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE NORTHERN ROCKIES.
FURTHER MOISTENING FROM ALOFT MAY OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
SUBTROPICAL STREAM...ACROSS THE NORTHERN MEXICAN PLATEAU INTO THE
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND WESTERN GULF COAST. BUT...A GENERALLY
STABLE THERMODYNAMIC STRATIFICATION IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN LOW
CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY...AND BEYOND.
..KERR.. 12/03/2006
CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1100Z
|
