DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1130 AM CDT SAT JUN 16 2007 VALID TIME 161630Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 29030110 29349856 32209460 31529293 29559346 0.02 49410306 45809262 44509208 43399342 43709919 42600230 42400396 42570479 43960562 44820782 45331088 45881329 49601681 0.05 48900790 48520459 47270195 46259727 45329706 44509783 44309999 43210248 43370412 44670661 45160861 45711156 46621270 47881306 48551221 48900790 0.10 45850296 44210298 44060466 45270697 46001012 47051117 48121063 48430794 47380459 45850296 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49859962 47889481 46659181 45228822 44288785 42928835 42709149 43319881 41850202 40800304 37920413 37560550 38280654 40150653 41790656 43620781 43831535 45231713 46801815 49571843 0.05 31198028 32198246 33078355 34958466 36448377 37378163 38227904 37907640 36907463 0.05 29220506 31730612 32900537 31660418 31140306 30700155 30500061 30469909 31919626 33339422 33109303 32089221 29169286 0.05 39617421 40807661 43807499 45277194 44847055 40737276 0.15 49399965 47149540 44609420 43609503 43979869 43340154 42540264 42300375 42580474 43920571 44630697 44991195 44641507 46151664 49291639 0.30 49050143 48069938 46629744 45699775 45150016 44470182 43620345 44060538 45160753 45721041 46261255 47681367 49251434 0.45 47490501 45890334 44740374 44290501 45480735 45901003 47051162 48081085 48380775 47490501 SIGN 44160442 44390550 45130656 45870997 47341133 48231015 48490778 47170388 44670373 44160442 && ... WIND ... 0.05 49779967 48439620 46649170 45218817 44188798 42838847 42769183 43299655 43539888 41930202 40770303 38080425 37560545 38450658 40240636 41910644 43660777 44941155 44531535 46631724 49461824 0.05 29380509 31760588 32550519 31140344 30720178 30439996 30579875 31919618 33369414 32929285 32019226 29009280 0.05 39617421 40897693 44087483 45367183 44587004 40627278 0.05 31298041 32078225 33188372 34478449 35908427 37358169 38287897 38007687 36877455 0.15 49359953 47029535 44459411 43649528 44179752 44430047 42460273 42410376 42540473 44060580 44790749 45691189 45121430 46401574 49431665 0.30 49100536 47960352 45920194 44590230 43550375 43940510 44910678 45160834 45951060 46121244 47401372 49301430 0.45 46101021 47141154 48011106 48330779 47530462 45570313 44490317 44260495 45390722 46101021 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 45320298 44420306 44160483 45320715 45951016 47031173 47981099 48400787 47370470 45320298 SLGT 49779955 48329757 46649520 44459406 43429519 43869853 43480110 42460273 42110391 42410496 43330625 44720795 45081166 44531518 46161676 49131637 TSTM 47596854 43166948 TSTM 28868346 30138252 31338260 31848321 31958414 30898497 29158528 TSTM 31220947 33650953 35200937 37490956 39351029 40341142 40971322 41861412 42861475 43121666 43991792 46061878 46912065 47682122 49132150 TSTM 42007901 40908377 40698640 40539077 41189361 42169676 41980027 40810290 39140322 36530283 36540179 37929927 38019438 37559175 36679007 36108955 35038871 34948742 35048626 35528490 36448359 37198251 37988110 39107959 40457873 41927807 42007901 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE 2WX 25 N RAP 15 S 81V 40 NNW SHR 20 NE LVM 35 NNE HLN 40 NNE GTF 60 WNW GGW 15 NNE GDV 30 ESE 2WX. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 NNW DVL 30 NW GFK 35 ESE DTL 15 NNW MKT 15 N SPW 25 WNW MHE 45 SSE PHP 30 N AIA 15 ENE TOR 30 SE DGW 30 NNE CPR 50 W SHR 40 NW WEY 50 ESE MYL 20 SE LWS 80 ENE 63S. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 NNW CAR 55 SE PWM. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSW CTY 35 NNW GNV 15 WNW AYS 55 WSW VDI 30 N ABY 15 ENE MAI 45 SSW AAF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE DUG 50 SSE SOW 40 WSW GUP 4BL 25 NNW U28 40 SE SLC 45 ENE ENV 45 SSE TWF 30 NNW TWF 40 SW BOI 60 S BKE 25 W ALW 25 NNW YKM 50 WNW EAT 50 ENE BLI. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE JHW 10 SSW FDY 35 NE LAF 25 SE BRL 25 S DSM 25 SW SUX 40 E MHN 20 SSE SNY 25 ESE LIC 20 ENE CAO 20 WSW GUY 40 ENE DDC 60 N JLN 25 ESE TBN 25 ESE POF 10 NW DYR 40 SSE MKL 15 NE MSL 40 NE HSV 30 SSE CSV 50 NNE TYS 50 N TRI 15 N BKW 20 NE EKN 25 WNW AOO 30 ENE BFD 15 SE JHW.