DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0314 PM CDT MON JUL 16 2007 VALID TIME 162000Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37477623 37517752 37987872 38917799 40477660 40047469 38017515 37477623 0.02 29598844 30148873 30998823 31508690 31328603 31128482 29588387 0.02 40589061 40819202 41259301 41719400 42049507 42789690 43719863 45109947 45919690 45499419 44489125 43838965 42748851 42168825 41588829 41108899 40679020 40589061 0.05 42429436 42929606 43769736 45249679 45259479 44419313 43118988 41619110 41749254 42429436 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 36737437 36657886 37927920 39067798 40497589 39317363 0.05 49520209 47989861 46539497 45589228 44528906 43418725 42808624 41738593 40798691 40108850 39969109 40099454 39109591 39329756 40539881 41639829 42439789 43409885 44720036 46170199 47880474 49400747 0.15 40629064 40869230 40829363 41449503 42949746 43579820 44999952 45909923 46219639 44879324 43899164 43469007 42548838 41548825 41028913 40629064 0.30 41949360 43449695 44579815 45319801 45769647 45149493 43979268 42999146 41839197 41949360 SIGN 43919777 45099816 45699695 45539584 44919439 44149290 43299106 42389074 41389137 41439359 42259509 42749596 43919777 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31361261 32361267 33511200 34931327 35391245 34151044 33190943 30980933 0.05 40741714 42201738 44221692 47091476 48091329 46880998 45730929 44190840 43100952 41831165 41141275 40461399 40071501 40191663 40741714 0.05 33377868 34728214 35488252 36308166 37048060 37748036 39297867 40587612 40187491 39367360 0.05 29728842 30848823 31458746 31948639 32038442 31778269 31288084 99999999 25647978 26878286 0.05 49520209 48449953 46889568 45719226 44528906 43418725 42808624 41738593 40798691 40058835 39919090 40129459 41279674 42389789 43409885 44720036 46170199 47880474 49400747 0.05 29199418 31219319 32079147 31849007 30468966 28369071 0.15 37987921 38897827 40377605 39957505 39507448 37857516 36617597 36667902 37987921 0.15 40629064 40869230 40849366 41079435 41539523 42729729 43549815 44969951 45869922 46229658 45539403 44629165 43628979 42548838 41548825 41028913 40629064 0.30 41649410 42969651 44249740 45509732 45469578 44389329 43149108 41989075 41639187 41649410 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 40589061 40639209 40749331 41169485 42209671 43489802 44999965 46009905 46189658 44629227 43619005 42518834 41528830 40918923 40589061 SLGT 37917928 39367754 40317608 40047531 39587452 37907517 36637589 36667902 37917928 TSTM 31631332 33481309 34791423 36161665 36151821 37061939 38431986 40131926 41641822 42941751 44271751 44891804 45661814 46521770 47521712 49141723 99999999 28700071 30039931 31849774 34199676 35799616 36729628 36929764 36449909 34839989 33430047 31640140 30530252 29150427 TSTM 49119805 47949684 46839382 46189144 45638819 45218549 45158222 99999999 43957760 42737880 41428157 40828349 40318506 39328531 38418452 38928265 40857856 41717580 41997413 41797177 42376960 TSTM 39909919 41379931 42339985 43550171 43580248 42890284 41250286 40050378 37720365 37340239 37730108 38560002 39909919 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE BRL 40 SSE OTM 35 ENE LWD 40 NE SDA 20 SW SUX 20 S MHE 50 NE PIR 50 NW ABR 50 SSE FAR 40 WSW EAU 25 SSE VOK 30 WSW RAC 20 ENE MMO 30 NE PIA 30 ESE BRL. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW SHD 25 E MRB 40 E CXY 15 NNW PHL 10 NNE ACY 15 E WAL 25 SE ORF 20 ENE DAN 30 SW SHD. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 95 SSW GBN 45 NNW GBN 20 E EED 50 SW DRA 45 NW NID 25 NE FAT 35 SSE TVL 35 W LOL 55 NNW WMC 30 NE REO 40 SSE BKE 10 WNW BKE 30 SSE ALW 30 WSW PUW 20 ESE GEG 50 NE 63S ...CONT... 50 SSE DRT 45 SE JCT 35 WNW ACT 15 ESE ADM 30 SSW TUL 15 WSW BVO 35 WNW PNC 35 SW AVK 35 NE CDS 70 S CDS 40 S BGS 35 SE FST 85 S MRF. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW HCO 15 E GFK 35 NNE BRD 35 SW ASX 15 SSW IMT 35 N TVC 65 E APN ...CONT... 55 N ROC 15 SSW BUF 15 E CLE 15 SE FDY 20 ENE MIE 50 WNW LUK 25 N LEX 30 SW UNI 30 SE DUJ 25 N AVP 30 NNW POU 20 WNW PVD 60 NE HYA. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 NE HLC 15 ESE BBW 20 SSE ANW 35 S PHP 45 SE RAP 15 ENE CDR 10 NNE SNY 30 WSW AKO 25 SSW LHX 15 ENE SPD 25 SW GCK 55 N DDC 50 NE HLC.