Jan 24, 2007 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Jan 24 05:38:08 UTC 2007
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20070124 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20070124 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20070124 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20070124 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 240533
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1133 PM CST TUE JAN 23 2007
   
   VALID 241200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO FURTHER AMPLIFY/SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE ERN
   CONUS...WHILE WRN RIDGE MOVES EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES. 
   MEANWHILE...CUT-OFF LOW INITIALLY OVER NWRN MEXICO/FAR W TX IS
   FORECAST TO RETROGRADE WWD WITH TIME...NEARING THE GULF OF
   CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
   
   AT THE SURFACE...FRONT IS FORECAST TO LINGER FROM SRN FL INTO THE
   GULF...WITH MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER REMAINING GENERALLY S OF LAKE
   OKEECHOBEE.  ELSEWHERE...STABLE CONTINENTAL AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL
   ACROSS MOST OF THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS.
   
   THOUGH AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL EXIST S OF WEAK FRONT ACROSS
   SRN FL/THE KEYS...WEAK LAPSE RATES/WARM MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES
   SHOULD YIELD ONLY SHALLOW/WEAK CONVECTION INSUFFICIENT FOR CHARGE
   SEPARATION/LIGHTNING.  THEREFORE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED
   ONSHORE OVER SRN FL...OR ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CONUS THROUGH
   THE PERIOD.
   
   ..GOSS.. 01/24/2007
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z