Feb 7, 2007 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Wed Feb 7 12:42:09 UTC 2007
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20070207 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20070207 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20070207 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20070207 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 071238
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0638 AM CST WED FEB 07 2007
   
   VALID 071300Z - 081200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SWRN ORE/NRN CA...
   CLOSED UPPER-LEVEL LOW NEAR 46N/135W WILL LIFT SLOWLY NWD W OF THE
   BRITISH COLUMBIA COAST. TO THE S OF THE LOW...AN ATTENDANT SHORT
   WAVE TROUGH WILL LIFT NEWD AND REACH THE NRN CA/ORE COAST AROUND
   08/00Z. A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INLAND THIS
   AFTERNOON...REACHING THE GREAT BASIN BY EARLY THU. COOLING MID-LEVEL
   TEMPERATURES /-24 TO -28 C AT 500 MB/ AND A MOIST SURFACE-BASED
   POST-FRONTAL AIR MASS WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR LIMITED INSTABILITY IN
   THE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. ISOLATED TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
   TO JUST OFF THE SWRN ORE/NRN CA COASTS. IN ADDITION...A FEW TSTMS
   MAY ALSO OCCUR LATER IN THE EVENING INVOF THE TRINITY MTNS AS SLY
   LOW-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THE SACRAMENTO VALLEY ENHANCES OROGRAPHIC LIFT
   AND MAINTAINS ADEQUATE NEAR-SURFACE MOISTURE UPON THE ARRIVAL OF
   MID-LEVEL COOLING.
   
   ..GRAMS/THOMPSON.. 02/07/2007
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z