Feb 18, 2007 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Feb 18 19:46:11 UTC 2007
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20070218 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20070218 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20070218 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20070218 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
   SPC AC 181941
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0141 PM CST SUN FEB 18 2007
   
   VALID 182000Z - 191200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SHIFTING ACROSS THE
   MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST AND INTO THE WRN ATLANTIC THROUGH THE END OF
   THE PERIOD...ACCOMPANIED BY CONVECTIVE SHOWERS AND
   SCATTERED/OFFSHORE THUNDERSTORMS.  MEANWHILE...A SECOND UPPER TROUGH
   WILL CONTINUE MOVING ONSHORE INTO THE WRN CONUS -- ALSO ACCOMPANIED
   BY SHOWERS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS. 
   ELSEWHERE...DRY/STABLE LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS WILL PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM
   DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
   
   ...PARTS OF NRN CA INTO NRN NV...
   WEAK DESTABILIZATION IS OCCURRING ACROSS NRN NV AND ADJACENT PARTS
   OF NRN CA/THE NRN SIERRA...AHEAD OF TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE ERN
   PACIFIC.  SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THIS REGION AS TROUGH SHIFTS
   SEWD THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD...ALONG WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A
   FEW ISOLATED/EMBEDDED LIGHTNING STRIKES.
   
   ..GOSS.. 02/18/2007
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z