Nov 24, 2007 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Nov 24 13:00:14 UTC 2007
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20071124 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20071124 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20071124 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20071124 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 241255
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0655 AM CST SAT NOV 24 2007
   
   VALID 241300Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...TX ACROSS THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY...
   STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE DIGGING/AMPLIFYING TROUGH
   INTO NWRN MEXICO AND THE SWRN U.S. TODAY.  AHEAD OF THIS
   FEATURE...LOW LEVEL WAA AND DEEP ASCENT WILL STEADILY INCREASE OVER
   THE SRN PLAINS AND SPREAD INTO THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY THROUGH THE
   PERIOD.  SURFACE LOW NOW JUST OFF THE CENTRAL TX COAST WILL MOVE
   LITTLE TODAY...BUT WILL LIKELY BEGIN DEEPENING LATER TONIGHT AND
   BEGIN LIFTING NNEWD TOWARDS THE UPPER TX/SWRN LA COAST SUNDAY
   MORNING IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM.  THIS WILL LEAVE
   INLAND AREAS UNDER INFLUENCE OF RELATIVELY STABLE CONTINENTAL AIR
   MASS AND PRECLUDE MORE THAN MARGINAL...ELEVATED INSTABILITY THROUGH
   THE PERIOD.  ALTHOUGH THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND
   SPREAD STEADILY ENEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...OVERALL SEVERE THREAT
   APPEARS LOW THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF THIS REGION.
   ANY SEVERE THREAT WILL HINGE ON SURFACE LOW LOCATION AND NWD
   TRANSPORT OF MARINE AIR AND SUBSEQUENT SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
   INTO THE FAR UPPER TX AND LA COAST TOWARDS DAYBREAK SUNDAY.  WILL
   OPT TO MAINTAIN CURRENT FORECAST OF SEVERE THREAT INCREASING THROUGH
   THE DAY 2 PERIOD /SUNDAY/...WITH FORECAST NOT WARRANTING DAY 1
   SEVERE PROBABILITIES ATTM.
   
   ..EVANS/CROSBIE.. 11/24/2007
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z