Nov 27, 2007 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Nov 27 12:46:14 UTC 2007
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20071127 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20071127 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20071127 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20071127 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 271242
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0642 AM CST TUE NOV 27 2007
   
   VALID 271300Z - 281200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...FL...
   SURFACE COLD FRONT CURRENTLY SAGGING SWD INTO NRN FL WILL LIKELY 
   STALL AND POSSIBLY BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER CENTRAL FL DURING THE
   PERIOD IN WAKE OF STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM EJECTING NEWD INTO
   THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.  NARROW AREA OF MUCAPE AT TBW THIS MORNING
   MAY SUPPORT SOME MOIST CONVECTION AND POSSIBLY A FEW WEAK
   THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THIS FRONT INTO THE EVENING.
   
   ...NWRN ORE/WA COAST...
   MODIFIED SLE SOUNDING AT 12Z INDICATES SHALLOW SBCAPE SHOULD DEVELOP
   THIS MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON WITH WEAK DIURNAL HEATING...SUPPORTING
   SHALLOW MOIST CONVECTION AND POSSIBLE A LIGHTNING STRIKE OR TWO. 
   CONVECTION WILL LIKELY DIMINISH THIS AFTERNOON AS WARMER AIR AROUND
   H7 BEGINS OVERSPREADING THE REGION.  OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO
   LOW TO WARRANT A 10% GENERAL THUNDERSTORM AREA ATTM.
   
   ..EVANS/LEVIT.. 11/27/2007
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z