SPC AC 250628
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CST THU JAN 25 2007
VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
CUT-OFF NRN MEXICAN LOW WILL BEGIN TO EJECT ENEWD ON FRI...PROBABLY
FOLLOWING THE 00Z GFS AND 12Z ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTIONS. THE LOW SHOULD
REACH SRN OK/N TX BY 12Z ON SATURDAY. TAIL END OF THE OLD FRONT IN
THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP NWD INTO A COASTAL TROUGH
OVER THE WRN GULF BASIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
...CNTRL-ERN TX...
LARGE SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SPREADING ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ASSOCD WITH
THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INCREASING RETURN FLOW/LLJ FRIDAY
AFTN. THIS WILL ADVECT MODIFIED GULF MOISTURE NWD WITH 50S DEW
POINTS LIKELY TO THE SERN TX COAST BY FRIDAY NIGHT. UNSTABLE WARM
SECTOR SHOULD REMAIN OFFSHORE...BUT TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE VERY NEAR
SHORE ALONG THE TROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.
FARTHER N...INCREASED ASCENT AND STEEPENING MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE
RATES MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLD TSTMS AS FAR N AS THE RED RIVER IN
NCNTRL TX LATE FRIDAY/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING.
..RACY.. 01/25/2007
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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