SPC AC 070548
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1148 PM CST TUE MAR 06 2007
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...4-CORNERS TO SRN HIGH PLAINS...
MODELS REMAIN CONSISTENT IN SHORTWAVE OFF THE BAJA COAST EJECTING
EWD ACROSS THE SWRN U.S./SRN ROCKIES DURING THE DAY2 PERIOD. THIS
FEATURE WILL ENHANCE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL...MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN OF THE 4-CORNERS REGION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WHEN
BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING BENEATH UPPER TROUGH STEEPENS LAPSE RATES.
EVEN SO...ACTIVITY...AT LEAST IN REGARDS TO LIGHTNING...WILL PROVE
ISOLATED AS PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
ONE-HALF INCH AND MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 100-200 J/KG.
DOWNSTREAM...WARM ADVECTION ACROSS THE SRN HIGH PLAINS WILL ENHANCE
ELEVATED CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL WELL AFTER DARK. EVEN HERE...MOISTURE
IS QUITE LIMITED AND ANY STORMS THAT FORM WILL BE VERY ISOLATED
AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
..DARROW.. 03/07/2007
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z
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