Jan 15, 2008 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Jan 15 05:56:08 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080115 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080115 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080115 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080115 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 150553
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1153 PM CST MON JAN 14 2008
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW OVER NRN MEXICO IS FORECAST TO OPEN TODAY AND
   MOVE TOWARD SOUTH TX TONIGHT. IN RESPONSE...A SFC LOW WILL ORGANIZE
   IN THE WRN GULF OF MEXICO AND MOVE NEWD TONIGHT. THE GREATEST
   POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION WILL LIKELY EXIST OFF THE COAST OF
   BROWNSVILLE WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS WILL BE IN THE 60S F AND LOW-LEVEL
   CONVERGENCE WILL BE MAXIMIZED AROUND THE SFC LOW. HOWEVER...AN
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST AND INLAND
   ACROSS SOUTH TX LATE TONIGHT AS LARGE-SCALE ASCENT INCREASES AHEAD
   OF THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
   DISORGANIZED DUE TO WEAK INSTABILITY. ELSEWHERE...THUNDERSTORM
   ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED ACROSS THE CONUS.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 01/15/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z