SPC AC 030047
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0647 PM CST SUN MAR 02 2008
VALID 030100Z - 031200Z
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF CENTRAL AND WRN
MO/SERN KS SWD INTO CENTRAL TX...
...WRN AND CENTRAL MO/SERN KS SWD ACROSS OK INTO CENTRAL TX...
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING ATTM FROM SERN KS SSWWD INTO SWRN
OK...WHILE OTHER SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS N TX --
BOTH ALONG THE DRYLINE AND FURTHER E WITHIN ZONE OF WARM ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE FRONT/DRYLINE.
EVENING PRE-CONVECTIVE RAOBS FROM OUN /NORMAN OK/ AND FWD /FORT
WORTH TX/ SHOW STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND FAVORABLY
STRONG/VEERING WIND FIELD WITH HEIGHT. WHILE STORM MODE ACROSS OK
SHOULD BECOME MORE LINEAR WITH TIME AS THE FRONT CONTINUES SURGING
SEWD...STORMS MAY REMAIN MORE CELLULAR ACROSS TX THROUGH MUCH OF THE
EVENING. THIS COMBINED WITH SLOWLY INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
AND FAVORABLE INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PER 00Z RAOBS SUGGESTS
A CONTINUED THREAT FOR TORNADOES. HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO
ANTICIPATED...WITH THE GREATEST OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL FORECAST
FROM CENTRAL AND SERN OK SSWWD INTO CENTRAL TX. WEAKER INSTABILITY
NWD ACROSS ERN KS AND INTO MO...AND EWD INTO AR...SUGGESTS A LESSER
SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THESE AREAS. MEANWHILE...THE THREAT ALSO
APPEARS TO DECREASE GRADUALLY WITH SWD EXTENT TOWARD THE RIO
GRANDE...WHERE STRONGER CAPPING SHOULD PERSIST THUS LIMITING OVERALL
STORM COVERAGE/SEVERE POTENTIAL.
..GOSS.. 03/03/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z
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