Mar 20, 2008 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Mar 20 19:57:10 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080320 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080320 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080320 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080320 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 201953
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0253 PM CDT THU MAR 20 2008
   
   VALID 202000Z - 211200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...NORTHERN ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST...
   AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CROSSES THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AND NORTH CENTRAL
   PLAINS THROUGH TONIGHT...RELATIVELY ISOLATED/MARGINAL THUNDERSTORM
   COVERAGE IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
   ROCKIES/IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS...AND INTO THE UPPER
   MIDWEST LATER TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES/DAYTIME HEATING MAY PROMOTE SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS
   OF SOUTHERN MT/NORTHEAST WY INTO THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF SD/NEB
   THROUGH EARLY EVENING. LATER TONIGHT...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET
   AND ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION/ELEVATED MOISTURE TRANSPORT REGIME MAY
   YIELD SOME ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHERN IA/FAR SOUTHERN MN
   AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
   
   ...SOUTHERN FL...
   A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE FAR
   SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA PER SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND VISIBLE
   SATELLITE/RADAR IMAGERY. WITH DRYING AT THE SURFACE AND LIMITED
   CONVERGENCE/POOR LAPSE RATES ALOFT...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL THE
   REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD APPEARS MINIMAL ACROSS SOUTH FL.
   
   ..GUYER.. 03/20/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z