May 6, 2008 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue May 6 01:03:11 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080506 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080506 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080506 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080506 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 060059
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0759 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2008
   
   VALID 060100Z - 061200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
   CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...
   
   ...EASTERN NM AND WEST/NORTHWEST TX INTO MUCH OF KS AND PORTIONS OF
   NEB/OK...
   A NUMBER OF SEVERE STORMS/SUPERCELLS CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING
   ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS...MOST NOTABLY FROM FAR
   EASTERN NM INTO NORTHWEST TX/OK PANHANDLE AND WESTERN/CENTRAL KS AS
   OF 01Z. OVERALL TENDENCY THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING WILL BE FOR
   SEMI-ORGANIZED STRONG-SEVERE MCS CLUSTERS TO EVOLVE...EXPANDING
   EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHWEST TX/OK PANHANDLE...AND MORE SOUTHEASTWARD
   ACROSS WESTERN/CENTRAL KS INTO ADJACENT OK. ALTHOUGH THE BOUNDARY
   LAYER IS NOT PARTICULARLY MOIST /ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
   PLAINS/...LOW LEVEL SOUTHEASTERLY INFLOW/INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET
   COUPLED WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PROVIDE AT LEAST SOME
   DEGREE OF ORGANIZATION THROUGH THE EVENING. FARTHER
   NORTH...ADDITIONAL STORMS MAY DEVELOP/EXPAND LATER THIS
   EVENING/OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES...WITH A PRIMARY
   RISK OF HAIL ACROSS KS INTO NEB.
   
   ...CAROLINAS...
   SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL MAY REMAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW
   HOURS...BUT OVERALL POTENTIAL APPEARS MINIMAL AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER
   CONTINUES TO STABILIZE AND STORMS SPREAD OFF THE COAST.
   
   ..GUYER.. 05/06/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z