Sep 15, 2008 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Sep 15 01:15:15 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080915 0100 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080915 0100 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080915 0100 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080915 0100 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 150112
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0812 PM CDT SUN SEP 14 2008
   
   VALID 150100Z - 151200Z
   
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS FAR WRN AND NRN NY...
   
   CORRECTED WORDING IN HEADLINE
   
   ...LOWER GREAT LAKES/WRN PA TO UPSTATE NY/VT...
   THE STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF IKE
   WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY NEWD THROUGH SRN ONTARIO/LOWER GREAT
   LAKES TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER VALLEY AS AN UPSTREAM SHORT WAVE
   TROUGH TRACKS EWD THROUGH THE SRN GREAT LAKES REGION.  SURFACE
   TROUGH TRAILING SSWWD FROM THE LOW EXTENDED THROUGH THE OH VALLEY TO
   LOWER MS VALLEY EARLY THIS EVENING.  THIS BOUNDARY WILL PROGRESS EWD
   AND SHOULD EXTEND FROM NEW ENGLAND TO MID ATLANTIC REGION TO CENTRAL
   GULF COAST STATES BY 12Z MONDAY.
   
   STRONG SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND WIND FIELDS ATTENDANT TO
   REMNANTS OF IKE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NEWD WITH THIS SYSTEM
   OVERNIGHT.  00Z BUF SOUNDING INDICATED STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   AND DRIER AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS SUGGESTING A POTENTIAL FOR
   STRONGER WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE.  LATEST REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY
   INDICATED A FEW LOW-TOPPED CONVECTIVE LINES OVER LAKE
   ONTARIO...APPROACHING WRN NY AND ACROSS CENTRAL LAKE ERIE.  IN
   ADDITION TO STRONG NON-TSTM GRADIENT WINDS...STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL
   BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE CONVECTIVE LINES AS WELL.
   
   ..PETERS.. 09/15/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z