Sep 19, 2008 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Sep 19 16:29:15 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20080919 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20080919 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20080919 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20080919 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 191625
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1125 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2008
   
   VALID 191630Z - 201200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   MAIN BAND OF WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT EXTENDS ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND
   THE NORTHERN TIER OF STATES...WHILE A FEW WEAKER AND SLOW MOVING
   UPPER FEATURES MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MS VALLEY.  ONE
   SUCH TROUGH IS CURRENTLY LIFTING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN
   OK TOWARD THE MIDDLE MS VALLEY.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
   EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH FROM
   SOUTHEAST MO INTO CENTRAL MS.  A FEW ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS
   ARE POSSIBLE TODAY...BUT WEAK LAPSE RATES AND RELATIVELY WEAK WIND
   FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO GREATLY LIMIT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT.
   
   ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
   AND EVENING OVER PARTS OF THE GREAT BASIN AND SOUTHERN
   ROCKIES...ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST...AND
   ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN FL PENINSULA.  SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT
   ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..HART.. 09/19/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z