Nov 17, 2008 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 17 16:10:26 UTC 2008
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20081117 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20081117 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20081117 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20081117 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 171606
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1006 AM CST MON NOV 17 2008
   
   VALID 171630Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   MUCH OF THE CONUS WILL REMAIN TOO STABLE FOR TSTM INITIATION THROUGH
   THE PERIOD. SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY ACCOMPANY DEEPER
   CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS WITHIN LAKE EFFECT PLUMES INVOF GREAT
   LAKES...BUT OVERALL TSTM PROBABILITIES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 10
   PERCENT. OCEANIC TSTM POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC
   COAST TONIGHT AS ERN CONUS MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH SHIFTS EWD...AND
   ASSOCIATED COOLING/FORCED ASCENT STRENGTHENS.
   
   ..HALES.. 11/17/2008
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z