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ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 110708
IAZ000-MNZ000-NEZ000-111515-
PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0208 AM CDT WED JUN 11 2008
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF THE CORN BELT AND
MID-MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN OK IS EXPECTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW STRONG TORNADOES OVER PARTS OF THE CORN BELT
AND MID-MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.
THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE THIS ACTIVITY INCLUDE
WESTERN IOWA
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA
EASTERN NEBRASKA
ELSEWHERE...SEVERE STORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE FROM...THE UPPER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY AND EASTERN DAKOTAS SOUTHWARD INTO THE
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS STATES
A POTENT UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED BELT OF STRONG
MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ROCKIES EARLY TODAY
WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...STRONG LOW-LEVEL WINDS WERE
TRANSPORTING A MOIST AIR MASS NORTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN MORNING THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS FROM KANSAS AND MISSOURI
NORTHWARD INTO MINNESOTA AND THE EASTERN DAKOTAS. A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY PRODUCE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.
PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO UNFOLD THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY
FROM MID-AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. MORNING STORMS WILL LEAVE A
BOUNDARY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST IOWA...EXTENDING
NORTHWESTWARD TO A DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA.
THIS BOUNDARY WILL PROBABLY MIGRATE NORTHWARD DURING THE AFTERNOON
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BORDER. STRONG HEATING AND VERY MOIST
CONDITIONS WILL FOSTER A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THIS BOUNDARY.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...NAMELY IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...WESTERN IOWA AND
EASTERN NEBRASKA AS THE UPPER SYSTEM APPROACHES. COMBINATION OF
STRONG TROPOSPHERIC WINDS AND MAGNITUDE OF EXPECTED INSTABILITY WILL
MAKE FOR A FAVORABLE SUPERCELL ENVIRONMENT WITH VERY LARGE HAIL
LIKELY. IN ADDITION...LOW-LEVEL WINDS ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND AHEAD
OF THE SURFACE LOW WILL REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY...CREATING SUFFICIENT
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR FOR A FEW STRONG TORNADOES THROUGH MID-EVENING
ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY ALSO DEVELOP SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL
KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SOUTHEASTWARD MOVING COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. THESE STORMS MAY ALSO POSE RISKS
FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THOSE IN THE THREATENED AREA ARE URGED TO REVIEW SEVERE WEATHER
SAFETY RULES AND TO LISTEN TO RADIO...TELEVISION...AND NOAA WEATHER
RADIO FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES...WARNINGS...AND STATEMENTS LATER TODAY.
..RACY.. 06/11/2008
$$
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