DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1242 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2009 VALID TIME 131200Z - 141200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 49130022 47119744 45169707 43019812 40900039 39620181 39630326 39900394 41170409 42830505 45400674 47320841 49011233 0.05 41530196 41950261 42610300 44280395 45940481 47340514 48040365 47980220 47490062 46269980 44979946 43679971 41710122 41530196 0.10 44140208 44510279 45330320 46270364 46770359 46950302 46730215 45920143 44750124 44240156 44140208 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 49259609 47469449 45219432 43729454 39929232 35888970 34648785 34108634 34758268 36268021 37157782 37667481 0.05 30888094 30158404 30468735 31299034 32489202 33829349 35329596 36189817 37560178 38500409 40760616 42780750 44121081 44361373 45181600 46861690 49231634 0.05 44526705 44456836 44526965 44877009 45517018 46777004 0.15 49089820 47919650 46569569 44839549 42749698 39680166 39580313 39930389 41100412 45090665 47370856 49031254 0.30 41840194 42340294 43750394 44830482 46220591 47080652 47680683 48280654 48290327 46800027 45679961 44229979 42840047 41990111 41840194 SIGN 41020199 41480278 42570327 44760490 46770652 47430684 48170588 47990379 47130195 45410079 44330062 43250053 42070076 41340114 41020199 && ... WIND ... 0.05 31378084 30568416 30398720 31069011 32229193 33909394 35279630 35849817 36950120 38470409 40400584 42720748 44001042 44321358 45101591 46781681 49151640 0.05 49219604 47529458 45599429 43539438 41349395 38389308 36579120 34538794 33868629 34048428 34418261 36068014 36757830 37297516 0.15 49059815 47949646 46639569 44939544 42789698 39710166 39600247 39630326 39870388 41100408 44950650 47230835 49011248 0.15 31438986 32529161 34179343 35169529 35649620 36619873 37229894 37889863 38109804 37199407 34108858 32618752 31488860 31438986 0.15 34087730 34687856 35777852 36277744 36327525 0.30 42580148 42770187 43110206 43900172 44960138 45730164 46890207 47520134 47450011 46889933 45909851 44429841 43339926 42859988 42550077 42580148 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 49159821 47919646 46799573 44969539 42749694 39620173 39600317 39930389 41070404 43000524 45420683 47340851 49061260 SLGT 31448996 32439152 34239353 35679616 36619873 37319890 37949852 38109796 37719605 37169411 35839147 34098855 32668748 31508859 31448996 SLGT 34077727 34687856 35717854 36237741 36307530 TSTM 43846814 43447021 44157362 44397610 99999999 49299465 47889349 45569280 43449291 39779027 38658971 36778931 35938657 36868391 37168057 37837813 38697515 39067382 99999999 28849237 30229167 31869196 33469353 35189633 35949913 36310035 36490149 36210326 35530428 34040434 32710406 31560416 30100509 99999999 31620688 32500610 34130567 34930587 34770655 33990668 33090703 32000748 31560770 99999999 32011395 33171356 33781188 33961118 34911072 35870968 38290974 39271050 39601198 40611268 41961264 42921255 43651294 43701499 44161702 44821809 45681828 46771796 47462003 49322101 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 WNW HCO 15 SW TVF 10 ESE DTL 30 NNW RWF 25 ESE YKN 20 N GLD 35 NE LIC 40 WSW AKO 40 E CYS 20 NNE DGW 45 N SHR 50 ENE LWT 30 NNW CTB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE MCB 30 ESE MLU 30 WSW HOT 35 E CQB 10 SSW AVK 20 W P28 35 WSW HUT HUT 30 W CNU 20 E JLN 15 NE BVX 20 SE TUP 35 NW SEM 45 E PIB 35 ENE MCB. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ESE ILM 25 SE FAY 15 SE RDU 20 SE RZZ 50 E ECG. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE BHB 15 SSE PWM 30 SW BTV 25 N ART ...CONT... 40 NE RRT 45 NW HIB 50 NNE MSP 30 NE MCW 30 W SPI 10 NE BLV 35 SSE CGI 15 SSE BNA 20 SSE LOZ PSK 25 SE CHO 30 NE SBY 50 ESE ACY ...CONT... 65 SSW 7R4 20 E LFT 35 NNE ESF 25 E TXK 35 WNW MLC 40 N CSM 30 W GAG 15 S GUY 20 SSW CAO 45 WNW TCC 55 NNE ROW 30 NNE CNM 40 ESE GDP 65 WSW MRF ...CONT... 30 WSW ELP 25 S ALM 4CR 40 E ABQ 20 S ABQ 15 E ONM 15 ESE TCS 20 SE DMN 50 S DMN ...CONT... 60 SE YUM 55 WNW GBN 25 NNE PHX 60 NE PHX INW 55 WNW GUP 35 S CNY 25 NW U28 30 ENE U24 30 NNE DPG 25 SW MLD PIH 45 WNW IDA 35 WNW SUN 55 NW BOI 15 W BKE 25 E PDT 40 W PUW 10 ENE EAT 80 ENE BLI.