DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1246 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009 VALID TIME 161200Z - 171200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39870207 40780051 40879924 39799626 37889461 35929539 35289746 35479974 36740138 38150219 39870207 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 45247207 42657078 41047153 40137256 99999999 38457448 38267660 39537906 40147976 41917934 43227968 0.05 44230594 44510427 42919975 42169730 40239527 38149213 35399119 33219210 31679467 32579788 34600131 37280258 40110318 41970463 43210572 44230594 0.15 40240183 40840080 40969967 40189654 38859519 37559339 36569256 35189252 34039275 33309370 32909461 32899543 33189717 33719936 36160120 37810211 39570222 40240183 0.30 39510147 40189934 39979761 39439590 37349520 36569752 36589931 37630111 39510147 && ... WIND ... 0.05 38507446 38277683 39367883 40267982 41887942 42347958 43257982 99999999 45207202 42677081 40957158 40277248 0.05 30830619 34610592 35820560 37670294 40250329 41400427 43260558 44320580 44610434 43500145 43200029 42389784 41589652 40319527 38749266 37539056 37208787 36468482 36258210 36368037 36467743 36217599 35707496 99999999 28439525 31169428 31749474 32349752 33720013 34530143 32780374 30430423 29280421 0.15 40270188 40870085 41009943 40619795 40149640 38819519 38099379 36729098 36308796 34428560 32848626 32559141 32649391 33219749 33789940 35590085 37870220 39560231 40270188 0.15 41147765 42797715 43937651 44547541 44787452 44717318 43777203 41957222 40227422 40147560 40547748 40817770 41147765 0.30 36899440 35019492 34439626 34809817 35419940 37030058 37650058 38760026 39349866 38839664 36899440 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 40270188 40880080 41009939 40169641 38819516 36719094 36298799 34438562 32828623 32559139 32669389 33189716 33739937 35750092 37880218 39640230 40270188 SLGT 44797464 44667320 43847198 42027218 40227422 40137557 40507743 40767772 42717716 43587676 44797464 TSTM 49770775 46720726 45590554 44880362 44270196 44170047 44059791 43259431 42989126 42568779 42318542 41858332 41238304 40538365 39898527 39048686 37818742 37888563 37718339 38718180 39808054 40717970 41647958 42618005 43748006 99999999 27459606 28299686 29299700 30149633 30839461 31249445 31739515 32059682 32649852 33400047 33360218 32680322 31410380 28570401 99999999 32321536 33601550 34031597 33861682 34321735 34991693 35571628 35551454 35391260 34991150 34030998 34260865 35130779 36730702 37440623 37700465 38670335 39520331 39990391 40230507 41090574 42120633 42890721 43560839 44510922 45930985 47541092 49521379 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW IML 20 SSW LBF 30 NW EAR 20 ESE BIE 25 W OJC 25 W POF 40 SW CKV 25 WNW RMG 40 NNE MGM 35 E MLU 15 NNW SHV 25 NNE FTW 55 WSW SPS 25 E BGD 30 ESE LAA 25 N ITR 20 SW IML. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE MSS 15 NNW BTV 20 NE LEB 25 SW ORH 15 NNE NEL 25 NW PHL 35 SE UNV 10 SE UNV 40 SE ROC 45 NW SYR 15 SE MSS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 120 NNW GGW 70 WNW MLS 15 NNW 4BQ 50 S 2WX 25 NW PHP 15 SSW PIR 20 NNE MHE 30 S FRM 50 NW DBQ 15 S RAC 10 NE AZO 25 S DTW 35 ENE FDY 35 S FDY 25 SSE MIE 15 WSW BMG 15 WNW OWB 20 SSE SDF 10 N JKL 25 NNW CRW 25 SSE HLG 30 ENE PIT 25 NE FKL 35 N ERI 85 NW BUF ...CONT... 90 S PSX 40 S VCT 30 N VCT 30 S CLL 30 SSE LFK 20 E LFK 40 NW LFK 25 W CRS 30 WSW MWL 70 S CDS 30 SW LBB HOB 45 SW INK 125 S MRF ...CONT... 35 SSE IPL 40 E TRM 30 NNE TRM 35 E RAL 25 NNE RAL 15 NW DAG 55 NNE DAG 40 WNW IGM 45 SSW GCN 15 SE FLG 15 S SOW 75 SW GNT GNT 50 N 4SL 20 W ALS 35 NNW TAD 45 NNE LHX 25 NE LIC 40 WSW AKO 15 S FCL 15 SSW LAR 50 ENE RWL 40 W CPR 35 N RIW 10 W COD 35 ENE LVM 20 E GTF 85 NNE GPI.