DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0238 PM CDT SAT AUG 15 2009 VALID TIME 152000Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 39700342 40670520 41540538 42340466 43130401 44030191 44180083 43839965 43249894 42529824 41269828 40169918 39450043 39400210 39700342 0.02 48329076 47189227 46879307 47149373 47719416 48059418 48679400 0.02 27798328 29048260 30868097 0.05 40310236 40660288 41270338 42100315 42470254 42720140 42590020 41829984 40900023 40410092 40310236 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48368836 46938982 45579071 42669270 40809446 38409691 37349882 37150015 38450385 38900668 39520971 40091002 40930991 41700916 42630790 43540621 44140421 46279785 46769658 47789614 49169681 0.15 39290408 39560476 40160626 40880681 41600644 42170587 43320450 44170227 44790032 44909905 44309711 42349597 40699666 39759756 39139878 38970220 39290408 0.30 40030427 40400497 40960519 41690502 43180354 43470247 43290143 42330104 41540101 40800168 40140247 40030427 && ... WIND ... 0.05 27888323 29118257 30868097 0.05 48398831 46579010 42849256 41329393 38319699 37279902 37190028 37770170 38230315 38500414 38940697 39420879 39750934 40220966 40900953 41810854 43580608 44550304 45760144 47040126 49310131 0.15 38960231 39400373 39790458 40410538 41310561 42370517 43630336 44810063 44839900 44249698 42549599 40729658 39799758 39169868 38960231 0.15 48299076 47159231 46909311 47079356 47719416 48059418 48679400 0.30 40690084 40990257 41410314 42260299 43120190 43290010 42669849 41399845 40839933 40690084 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 38960227 39410409 39750531 40160635 40910681 41800625 43320438 44730067 44829905 44309707 42459592 40799662 39769758 39199856 38960227 SLGT 48299076 47569172 47159236 46909307 47209378 47789420 48739400 TSTM 49231193 48601168 47761086 46850995 45410842 44860639 44630498 44890371 45480285 46280264 47630284 49270339 99999999 47898713 47168873 46358939 44768890 43128917 40759031 38719156 37169276 35569479 34239668 32719788 31939840 31319849 30529843 29909880 29219950 27980050 99999999 30100509 31190481 32700389 34060265 35670175 36850144 37390210 37530283 37660424 37860663 37970940 38681167 39071327 39481390 40221405 40861357 41431249 42031211 42791229 43751334 45271471 46841613 47711714 49551816 99999999 28589488 29409526 30339537 31049486 32299253 33539144 35619072 37038996 38978842 40048750 40408517 40368264 40948156 42707889 43177773 42967679 42387662 41697749 40907860 40247918 39617952 39127972 38557934 37877953 37258021 36658016 36347984 36307913 36887821 37377692 37887474 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S ITR 25 WNW LIC 25 W DEN 45 NE EGE 45 NE CAG 45 NW LAR 65 NE DGW 30 NW PIR 50 NW HON 10 W BKX 25 E SUX 10 ESE LNK 15 NNE CNK 25 NNE RSL 20 S ITR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NNW GNA 25 SSE ELO 25 NNW DLH 35 SSW HIB 45 WSW HIB 40 ENE BJI 30 WNW INL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 NNE CTB 30 E CTB 30 NE GTF 25 WSW LWT 30 SSE BIL 30 ENE SHR 35 NE GCC 50 S 2WX 35 E 2WX 35 NW Y22 55 SE ISN 75 N ISN ...CONT... 80 NE CMX 10 W CMX 35 ESE IWD 35 ESE AUW 10 E MSN 35 W PIA 35 ENE JEF 35 E SGF 30 NW FSM 20 ESE ADM 10 ESE MWL 25 SSW SEP 45 SE BWD 45 WNW AUS 30 NW SAT 20 WSW HDO 70 WNW LRD ...CONT... 65 WSW MRF 45 S GDP 35 NE CNM 45 ESE CVS 20 W BGD 10 NNE GUY 30 NNW EHA 20 NNW SPD 25 N TAD 50 SSE GUC 25 N 4BL 55 WNW 4HV 45 WSW U24 50 ENE ELY 35 S ENV 25 ENE ENV 30 WNW OGD 15 SE MLD 20 ESE PIH 50 ENE SUN 40 WNW SMN 45 E PUW 20 ENE GEG 95 NE OMK ...CONT... 50 SE LBX 15 S HOU 30 SSE UTS 15 SSW LFK 35 WSW MLU 20 ESE LLQ 15 SSW JBR 25 WSW CGI 35 SSW MTO 10 SSE DNV 15 NE MIE 30 NNE CMH CAK 20 SSW BUF ROC 35 WSW SYR 10 SW ITH 45 NW IPT 25 SE DUJ 10 ESE LBE 20 E MGW 20 NNE EKN 30 NW SHD 40 NNW LYH 15 WSW ROA 40 NNW GSO 15 NNE GSO 20 SSE DAN 15 NNW AVC 25 ESE RIC 40 E WAL.