SPC AC 121916
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0116 PM CST MON JAN 12 2009
VALID 122000Z - 131200Z
...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASES ARE APPARENT WITHIN A BAND ALONG A
STALLED FRONTAL ZONE EXTENDING FROM THE SOUTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA INTO THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
HOWEVER...WEAK MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE LIMITING
DESTABILIZATION...AND LARGE-SCALE ASCENT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
FAIRLY WEAK UNTIL STRENGTHENING LOWER/MID TROPOSPHERIC WARM
ADVECTION COMMENCES OFF SOUTH ATLANTIC COASTAL AREAS VERY LATE
TONIGHT...OR TUESDAY MORNING. THIS IS WHERE/WHEN BETTER CHANCES FOR
STORMS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP. OTHERWISE...A LOW RISK FOR
THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS EVENING OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...MOSTLY NEAR THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF
THE SURFACE FRONT.
..KERR.. 01/12/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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