Feb 23, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Feb 23 16:22:17 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090223 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20090223 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20090223 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20090223 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 231618
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1018 AM CST MON FEB 23 2009
   
   VALID 231630Z - 241200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG CLOSED LOW NEAR 43 N AND 135 W WILL MOVE EWD/ENEWD TO THE
   WA/ORE COASTS OVERNIGHT...AND THIS LOW WILL BE PRECEDED BY A
   BAROCLINIC BAND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.  OCEANIC LIGHTNING DATA AND
   SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGEST THAT THE MOST RECENT THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
   THE BAROCLINIC BAND WERE NEAR 09Z.  ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
   PROBABLE SINCE THE SYSTEM IS APPARENTLY AT PEAK INTENSITY
   ALREADY...AND DESTABILIZATION APPEARS UNLIKELY AS THE MID LEVEL LOW
   MOVES OVER THE SLIGHTLY COOLER SST/S CLOSER TO THE PAC COAST.  ANY
   LIGHTNING STRIKES ALONG THE ORE/SW WA COASTS WILL BE VERY ISOLATED
   AND NOT SUFFICIENT TO WARRANT INTRODUCING AN OUTLOOK AREA.
   
   ELSEWHERE...A CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR MASS WILL PRECLUDE ANY
   APPRECIABLE THUNDERSTORM THREAT E OF THE ROCKIES.
   
   ..THOMPSON.. 02/23/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z