SPC AC 011928
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 PM CST SUN MAR 01 2009
VALID 012000Z - 021200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...OUTER BANKS OF NC...
ELONGATED SURFACE LOW FROM JUST E OF CAE TO OFFSHORE E OF CRE WILL
CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND DEEPEN WHILE DEVELOPING NNEWD ALONG THE
NC COAST TO OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH TONIGHT. 19Z RADAR
DATA INDICATE CLUSTERS OF INTENSE TSTMS /INCLUDING SOME SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES/ FROM APPROXIMATELY 105 SE OF ILM TO S OF HSE MOVING
GENERALLY NNEWD. THIS ACTIVITY IS LOCATED TO THE S OF SYSTEM WARM
FRONT WHICH REMAINS JUST OFFSHORE PER CURRENT BUOY OBSERVATIONS.
LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT THIS BOUNDARY MAY TEND TO PIVOT
SLIGHTLY TO THE W/NW IN ADVANCE OF SURFACE LOW...PERHAPS ALLOWING
SURFACE-BASED OR NEAR SURFACE-BASED STORMS TO AFFECT THE OUTER
BANKS. SHOULD THIS OCCUR...VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF
ROTATING STORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY GUSTY WINDS. ANY
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD END BY LATER THIS EVENING AS SURFACE
LOW PASSES TO THE N/NE OF THE AREA.
..MEAD.. 03/01/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
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