Nov 26, 2009 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Thu Nov 26 12:50:14 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091126 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091126 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091126 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091126 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 261248
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0648 AM CST THU NOV 26 2009
   
   VALID 261300Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AMPLIFIED...PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE LWR 48 THROUGH
   FRI.  VORT MAX NOW IN SRN MO WILL CONTINUE ESE TO THE SRN
   APPALACHIANS THIS EVE...BEFORE CONTINUING E TO THE NC CST EARLY FRI.
   THIS WILL DEEPEN EXISTING OH VLY TROUGH AS BROAD UPSTREAM RIDGE
   MOVES FROM THE RCKYS TO THE PLNS.
   
   AT LWR LVLS...EXISTING SFC LOW E OF NC SHOULD MOVE NNE TO OFF THE MA
   CST BY LATE IN THE PERIOD AS A NEW LOW FORMS E OF HATTERAS IN
   RESPONSE TO UPR VORT APPROACHING FROM MO.  WEAK COLD FRONT NOW OVER
   S FL SHOULD CONTINUE DRIFTING SLOWLY SEWD AS STRONGER FRONT TIED TO
   MO VORT ACCELERATES SE INTO NRN FL...AND OFF THE S ATLANTIC CST.
   
   ...S FL AND CAPE COD/WRN ATLANTIC...
   AHEAD OF AFTN FRONTAL PASSAGE...MODEST DESTABILIZATION MAY SUPPORT
   DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW TSTMS OVER FAR S FL AND OVER THE ADJACENT CSTL
   WATERS/KEYS.  GREATER STORM COVERAGE WILL EXIST FARTHER E INTO THE
   BAHAMAS. 
   
   LATE IN THE PERIOD /AFTER 06-09Z/ OTHER STORMS MAY FORM OFF THE NJ
   CST NE INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND...AND OVER THE ADJACENT CSTL WATERS...AS
   ELEVATED INSTABILITY DEVELOPS IN REGION OF STRONG ASCENT/MOISTENING
   DOWNSTREAM FROM AMPLIFYING UPR TROUGH.
   
   ..CORFIDI/JEWELL.. 11/26/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z