Dec 28, 2009 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Dec 28 16:04:16 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20091228 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20091228 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20091228 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20091228 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 281601
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1001 AM CST MON DEC 28 2009
   
   VALID 281630Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   A COLD GENERALLY STABLE POLAR AIR MASS NOW COVERS THE CONUS.  STRONG
   TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES WILL INCREASE
   POTENTIAL FOR SHALLOW CONVECTION PRIMARILY LEE OF LE/LO...HOWEVER
   LIGHTNING NOT LIKELY GIVEN THERE IS VIRTUALLY NO CAPE EXPECTED.
   
   CURRENTLY THERE IS ISOLATED LIGHTNING BEING DETECTED WITH WEAK UPPER
   LOW OFFSHORE SRN CA TO W OF 120W.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DISSIPATE AS
   UPPER SYSTEM MOVES EWD AND WEAKENS AS WELL AS ENCOUNTERING A DRIER
   AIR MASS OVER SRN CA.
   
   ..HALES.. 12/28/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z