Jan 12, 2009 0700 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Jan 12 05:58:37 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090112 0700 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20090112 0700 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 120556
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1156 PM CST SUN JAN 11 2009
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL CHANGE LITTLE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A
   HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN TWO THIRDS OF THE COUNTRY
   AND A CORRESPONDING UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ERN PACIFIC AND WRN U.S.
   COASTAL AREA.
   
   ...CNTRL THROUGH S FL...
   
   SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING SEWD IN WAKE OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
   ADVANCING THROUGH THE ERN STATES WILL PUSH A STALLED FRONT THROUGH
   THE CNTRL AND SRN FL PENINSULA TUESDAY. BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN
   THE LOW TO MID 60S WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF THE FRONT. DEEPER FORCING
   FOR ASCENT WILL LIKELY REMAIN POST FRONTAL WITH WEAK MID LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES AND INSTABILITY IN WARM SECTOR. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP
   IN VICINITY OF FRONT AS IT CONTINUES SEWD. THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY
   AND WEAK LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN LIMITED CHARGE SEPARATION
   POTENTIAL. A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CNTRL AND S
   FL AS DIABATIC HEATING DESTABILIZES THE BOUNDARY LAYER DURING THE
   AFTERNOON...BUT THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL PROBABLY REMAIN AOB 10%.
   
   ..DIAL.. 01/12/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1730Z