SPC AC 071716
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1116 AM CST SAT NOV 07 2009
VALID 081200Z - 091200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
BROAD BELT OF FAST WSWLY FLOW ALOFT IS PROGGED TO CONTINUE FROM THE
WRN CONUS INTO ERN CANADA...WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED SMALL-SCALE
FEATURES PROGRESSING QUICKLY ENEWD.
FARTHER S...A WEAK TROUGH WILL CONTINUE CROSSING THE SOUTHWEST
U.S./MEXICO...WITH A RIDGE PREVAILING OVER THE ERN U.S. FROM THE
LOWER GREAT LAKES SWD INTO THE GULF/WRN ATLANTIC.
WITHIN THE ERN U.S. RIDGE...T.S. IDA IS PROGGED TO SHIFT NWD INTO
THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED/OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE COASTAL PAC NW -- PARTICULARLY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
THE PERIOD AS MOIST SWLY LOW-LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW CONTINUES.
MINIMAL DESTABILIZATION IS ALSO PROGGED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE
GULF...AND SHOULD EXPAND NWD INTO THE S CENTRAL U.S. AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING SRN STREAM TROUGH. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT AN INCREASE IN
SHOWERS AND A OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WRN
GULF...EVENTUALLY SPREADING INTO TX AND COASTAL LA. CONVECTION WILL
ALSO INCREASE OVER THE CENTRAL AND ERN GULF AS IDA MOVES NWD...WITH
A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ON THE PERIPHERY OF THIS
SYSTEM POSSIBLY AFFECTING THE FL KEYS. IN ALL AREAS
HOWEVER...KINEMATIC AND THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
UNSUPPORTIVE OF APPRECIABLE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.
..GOSS.. 11/07/2009
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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