Aug 27, 2009 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Thu Aug 27 06:43:41 UTC 2009
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20090827 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20090827 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 270640
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0140 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2009
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   
   UNLESS DANNY SKIRTS THE SRN NEW ENGLAND COAST...IT APPEARS MUCH OF
   THE CONVECTION ACROSS THE ERN/SRN CONUS WILL STRUGGLE TO OBTAIN ANY
   SIGNIFICANT INTENSITY/LONGEVITY AS SHEAR/INSTABILITY ARE EXPECTED TO
   REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL.  THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS MIGHT BE ALONG
   THE OH RIVER VALLEY IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.  MODELS SUGGEST
   A NARROW WEDGE OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY WILL ADVECT NEWD ACROSS KY
   INTO SRN OH/WV PRIOR TO WIND SHIFT.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG
   THIS BOUNDARY WILL DO SO ALONG SRN FRINGE OF STRONGER FLOW WHICH
   COULD LEAD TO A FEW ROBUST STORMS.  OTHERWISE...ACTIVITY ACROSS THE
   CONUS SHOULD REMAIN SOMEWHAT MARGINAL.
   
   ..DARROW.. 08/27/2009
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z