DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0749 AM CDT SAT JUL 17 2010 VALID TIME 171300Z - 181200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 48899424 46609171 44588943 42698971 41569188 41529512 42749695 45559864 48089856 49039796 0.05 47729659 47499554 46539395 43869345 43249405 43199527 43559640 44989753 46069792 47009783 47529735 47729659 0.10 46989734 47349712 47479645 47219552 46489472 45449478 45239558 45249653 46069733 46989734 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48719320 44748824 42568846 40549136 40139425 40009803 40139981 40520139 41110169 41920158 43319987 45989937 47939943 48659930 49569889 0.15 49079532 46849327 44459188 43189218 42069295 41599391 41479599 41839739 43019890 45999870 48079864 49039792 0.30 47489818 48139723 48049536 47159440 43879343 43249409 43189650 44399752 45509812 47489818 0.45 45969732 47329715 47489638 47219513 46489467 44699461 44339504 44169647 45109706 45969732 SIGN 46369790 46949784 47259760 47489632 47199512 46529466 44739461 44359507 44189647 45059756 45749780 46369790 && ... WIND ... 0.05 34201204 34441102 33790975 32640902 31590906 31421064 32281254 33301277 34201204 0.05 48429168 47429087 46598957 45418759 44538711 42658786 41648905 39979141 39809506 39969779 40109971 40520134 41080164 41960154 43279992 46079927 47879960 48639931 49459877 0.05 34167658 34517964 34198286 33438508 31608644 30788733 29879013 29809393 30349526 32279566 35929441 38879055 40878741 42318493 43188360 43818170 99999999 46636730 44956970 43667152 42257258 41817354 41167720 40267886 38937908 38357828 37887715 37517597 37107443 0.15 48859423 46699112 45558942 44728821 42568848 40589129 40389460 40879765 43099891 46019867 48099860 49059796 0.15 36107841 36138008 36088076 36108144 36408200 37488158 38208104 38418036 38267921 37807798 37227747 36407773 36107841 0.30 48019593 47769470 46619176 44608946 42698970 41509213 41399426 41949613 44579754 46699772 47399754 48019593 0.45 46559673 47249521 46199242 44839133 43279127 42699246 42679342 42729492 44219649 45659668 46559673 SIGN 46549671 47249518 46739385 45829275 44469193 43509205 42689340 42729492 44199649 45629669 46549671 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MDT 47319715 47489633 47169506 46169240 44869130 43289125 42679250 42739495 44179649 45059702 45879730 47319715 SLGT 48779412 46769126 44708819 42568848 40579134 40399467 40869767 43019890 46579868 48129863 49049793 SLGT 36097848 36128010 36088058 36108145 36408202 37488157 38188104 38418038 38277922 37807799 37217745 36407773 36097848 TSTM 31971436 33261443 34531419 36421470 35601815 36971946 37881998 38231954 38201855 38591770 39491722 40611546 41661386 42561310 44011302 45311256 46361172 47691193 49511289 99999999 49650969 47830810 47210568 46800350 45840116 47190065 49270160 99999999 48628817 46728693 44658628 43038677 42018807 41518793 41998649 43438440 44368191 99999999 41726920 40737265 40117506 39327646 38797628 38517567 38507391 99999999 33077842 32767951 31628078 29748159 27748229 27168309 99999999 25078191 26577940 99999999 28149530 28499668 29009708 30779702 32299681 34629622 37029516 38339350 39119254 39549270 39489574 39599879 38330189 36340386 33270546 31050637 && THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW FAR 40 S TVF 25 SSW BJI 50 SSW DLH 10 E EAU 40 S LSE 10 NNW ALO 15 ENE SLB 20 ESE BKX 10 NE ATY 60 NW VVV 30 NNW FAR. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW INL 20 NW ASX 15 NNW GRB 30 E JVL 20 SW BRL 40 WSW LWD 35 ESE GRI 40 NNW ONL 25 S JMS 15 E DVL 50 WNW HCO. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE RDU 10 W GSO 35 W GSO 25 N HKY 20 ESE TRI 25 WNW BLF 30 N BKW 45 N SSU 20 W SHD 35 SE CHO 20 SSW RIC RZZ 25 NE RDU. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE YUM 30 SE BLH 30 ESE EED 35 NE LAS 25 WSW NID 20 NE FAT 50 NE MER 50 SSE TVL 60 N BIH 50 NW TPH U31 20 SE EKO 60 S BYI 35 E BYI 50 SW MQM DLN 20 SE HLN 30 WNW GTF 65 NNW CTB ...CONT... 75 N HVR 75 WSW GGW 40 W GDV 35 W DIK 40 WNW MBG 30 N BIS 70 NNW MOT ...CONT... 100 N CMX 35 ENE MQT 25 N MBL 30 WSW MKG 25 WNW CGX 30 SSW CGX 10 SSW BEH 20 WSW MBS 65 NE BAX ...CONT... 55 NE ACK 25 E ISP 20 SW TTN 15 NE BWI 35 SE BWI 15 NW SBY 75 SSE ACY ...CONT... 50 SE CRE 30 ESE CHS 45 SE SAV 20 SW SGJ 25 ESE PIE 35 WSW SRQ ...CONT... 35 NNW EYW 45 E PBI ...CONT... 70 S LBX 30 SSE VCT 15 NW VCT 35 SE TPL 30 NW CRS 30 SW MLC 35 NW GMJ 25 S SZL 25 NW COU 40 SSW IRK 30 NNW TOP 50 N RSL 45 ENE LAA 40 W CAO 15 SSE SRR 50 S ELP.