DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1131 AM CDT WED SEP 15 2010 VALID TIME 151630Z - 161200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 37449123 36529373 36109518 36149735 36449859 37089894 38739836 39919735 41069638 41929661 42459688 43179681 43909680 44809584 45259384 45309170 43438829 41808775 40568793 39658837 37449123 0.05 37649457 37229522 37159750 37799801 38369771 39209718 39299623 39149536 38249445 37649457 0.05 43039502 43679486 44089409 43809285 42549167 41649193 41189291 41379429 42059480 43039502 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 46099234 45479085 44388979 43378943 41398876 39278915 37559067 36579225 35659447 35629637 35629933 35919985 38379896 40309928 42659809 43439970 44070147 45870137 46679668 46579439 46099234 0.15 41119645 41979668 42499691 43849680 44869584 44939372 44759252 42979094 41409065 40279214 39239223 37879272 37199390 36929548 36759788 37259856 38909801 41119645 0.30 42879503 43779476 44159408 43669267 42479163 41549198 41189287 41479446 42879503 && ... WIND ... 0.05 40239912 44769713 46499512 45809076 44528599 42558404 40898439 38418853 36649019 35609431 34019726 33910039 34620190 35890183 37439953 38469892 40239912 0.15 36039581 36379868 37289881 38079786 39209701 41039642 42789690 43889680 44509587 44939380 44749234 44449109 43478838 41398773 39698833 37489127 36869312 36499390 36039581 0.30 43479500 44019405 43389163 42269087 40899169 40809347 41589459 42669495 43479500 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 36059589 36349859 37119885 38969710 40819637 42299674 43899681 44599567 44919376 44749236 44519133 43448838 41438776 39778818 38369014 37469131 36529381 36059589 TSTM 27228332 27398135 27377931 99999999 31170879 32890784 34060595 35090383 36320194 37720068 38580039 40030050 40700074 41570130 42790223 44110297 45610265 46300112 46709947 47229628 47179396 46859195 46378961 45458613 45148525 44448349 43988301 41348274 40208297 39198344 37888502 36008965 35299175 33639344 32819621 31099727 27579611 TSTM 29219378 29949238 30529183 30749127 30619056 30338945 29738738 TSTM 45221358 44321706 44212020 44802073 45391985 45921854 47251764 48341665 47981452 47921307 46991131 45370916 44950738 44320684 43780697 43740835 44240996 45221358 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 S TUL 30 S AVK 20 SW P28 25 WSW MHK 20 E LNK 20 WSW SUX 20 N FSD 30 W RWF 25 W MSP 45 ESE MSP 25 SSE EAU 40 SSE OSH 30 SSW CGX 20 SSE CMI 20 SW BLV 50 ESE TBN 25 S UMN 10 S TUL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WSW SRQ 20 S AGR 70 NE PBI ...CONT... 50 ESE DUG 25 NE SVC 15 W 4CR 15 WSW TCC 35 SW GUY 15 S GCK 50 NNE GCK 15 SSE MCK 30 S LBF 35 SSW MHN 45 E CDR RAP 30 SW Y22 40 SSW BIS 40 WSW JMS 35 NE FAR 50 ESE BJI 10 E DLH 25 ESE IWD 50 ESE ESC 35 NNE TVC OSC 15 N BAX 40 NNW MFD 15 NNW CMH 55 E LUK 25 WSW LEX 15 W DYR 30 S BVX 35 ENE TXK 35 E DAL 10 ESE TPL 80 S PSX. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SSE BPT 20 NW 7R4 25 NNE LFT 15 NNW BTR 35 E BTR 20 E ASD 55 SSW PNS. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE SMN 50 SE BKE 45 E RDM 45 NNE RDM 55 WSW PDT 15 SW ALW 25 S GEG 65 NE GEG 25 SSW GPI 60 SSW CTB 35 S GTF 45 SW BIL 25 WNW SHR 30 SSE SHR 50 ESE WRL 25 SW WRL 50 WSW COD 15 ENE SMN.