DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0517 PM CDT WED SEP 22 2010 VALID TIME 222000Z - 231200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 41617866 42577481 41957239 40857232 39717426 39357544 40077870 41057947 41617866 0.02 45209621 44689258 43789079 42529062 41909267 41489488 41129906 39420119 39190254 40220314 43430388 44600267 45209621 0.05 41810192 42840141 43809690 43749505 43079405 41959445 41719622 41409948 40640119 41810192 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 38897376 38057770 38987842 38978239 39498429 40288991 40459409 39919871 38640040 36760208 33470313 30480501 31720657 32960631 35210505 37160459 38940416 41680419 43450444 44780331 45630097 46869898 46078895 45348525 44018455 42668478 40768248 41287962 42087680 43017413 43267212 42696991 0.05 38171182 40521109 41120938 40160824 38080863 37401026 37501124 38171182 0.15 43930218 45359768 45639254 45259057 44018970 42719013 41899253 41459522 41169882 39380123 39160249 40260343 42850366 43930218 0.30 43789905 44799625 44919328 44079304 42849421 42189634 41250078 41190186 42140255 42740195 43130070 43789905 SIGN 43030100 44149806 44179661 43489561 42449569 42029734 41669923 41490053 42150128 43030100 && ... WIND ... 0.05 37687427 37897588 35118031 35658125 38378016 38678460 39708968 40219523 39919868 38650039 36760203 33520312 30410495 31670654 32980632 38350432 40510406 40930577 36880983 36721215 37741347 40191340 41881231 41990899 44310473 45220334 45610183 45119905 45809599 44919145 43298934 41758687 42588425 42578016 42837786 44007354 43836936 42786870 0.15 40090331 43390397 44350305 43750000 45059606 44399199 43749074 42459063 41889243 41459522 41169882 39380123 39160249 40090331 0.15 38537396 38677569 38007768 38917828 38968257 40198283 42287576 42977432 43267223 42736968 0.30 44139634 43989424 43219339 42629413 42279616 42049818 42859939 43729843 44139634 0.30 40517989 41327697 41327434 40617406 39787447 39657618 39747801 39887961 40517989 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... SLGT 45259057 44018970 42719013 42549064 42459063 41889243 41459522 41169882 39380123 39160249 40090331 40140332 40260343 41060350 43390397 44350305 44100170 45359768 45639254 45259057 SLGT 38547442 38677569 37987773 38957842 39038066 38978261 40198287 40858065 41647824 42347574 42977432 43267223 42726971 TSTM 37337412 35877756 34667988 33408346 32838468 32808523 33128597 33448633 34038651 34858624 35298598 36238470 37158407 37638418 37608580 37168955 37109142 37899318 39819517 40069637 39269798 37110015 35480152 33170239 30960288 28880317 99999999 28550073 29880021 31279947 32279783 32649621 31989367 31549175 31298963 31048816 30618719 29678742 99999999 28168337 28658164 28838014 99999999 40650512 40590584 40140649 39030736 38310744 37710677 37630570 38280465 39170431 40230442 40650512 99999999 31321306 33291294 34701308 35811395 36691406 37961362 40581331 42441343 43951400 45441586 46071589 46621495 46701350 45631110 45030930 44760803 44720672 45190554 45570359 45580220 46230192 47560293 49060345 49069843 48229407 47679180 46908978 46558787 46388512 45608338 44728212 43398290 41728342 41538232 41808106 42847880 43287722 44337534 44837283 44927030 43916712 && THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 WNW AUW 30 E VOK 35 S LNR 10 NNE DBQ DBQ 35 W CID 35 ENE OMA 30 WNW GRI 25 E GLD 15 WSW ITR 10 SW AKO AKO 15 WNW AKO 25 W SNY 60 NW CDR 20 N RAP PHP 35 E ABR 60 NNE MSP 50 WNW AUW. THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE SBY 25 NNW SBY 40 ESE CHO 40 SW MRB 45 WNW EKN 25 SW UNI 15 N CMH 30 S YNG 25 ESE BFD 15 NE BGM 30 WNW ALB 25 N EEN 60 ESE PSM. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 ESE WAL 20 E RWI 35 NNW FLO 40 S AHN 25 ESE LGC 15 SSW LGC 30 SSW ANB 25 ESE BHM 25 W GAD 35 ENE HSV 50 WNW CHA 30 NE CSV LOZ 35 SE LEX 40 S SDF CGI 35 NE UNO 45 NNE SGF 15 WNW STJ 25 SE BIE 25 SW CNK 45 E LBL 15 SSW BGD 50 SW LBB FST 100 SW 6R6 ...CONT... 60 SSE DRT 50 SSW JCT 50 SW BWD 20 E SEP 40 ESE DAL 35 SSE SHV 25 WSW HEZ 20 SW PIB 25 NNE MOB 10 N PNS 55 SSW PNS ...CONT... 45 WNW PIE 20 WNW ORL 60 NNE MLB ...CONT... 15 NNW FCL 45 WNW FCL 40 NE EGE 30 WSW ASE 30 ESE MTJ 55 WNW ALS 15 NNE ALS 10 W PUB 35 NE COS 35 ESE FCL 15 NNW FCL ...CONT... 115 S GBN 30 NNW GBN 40 W PRC 40 N IGM 35 SW SGU 35 WNW CDC 35 NW DPG 20 ESE BYI 35 NNE SUN 40 NNE MYL 15 WSW P69 45 NE P69 15 W 3DU 10 SSE BZN 40 NNW COD 50 W SHR 15 ESE SHR 20 SSW 4BQ 2WX 25 S Y22 25 NNE Y22 55 N DIK 60 N ISN 70 NNE DVL 40 SW INL 15 SSE ELO 30 NNE IWD 15 W MQT 35 W ANJ 35 NNE APN 65 ENE OSC 25 S BAX 20 ENE TOL 25 WNW CLE 45 NNW YNG BUF 25 ENE ROC 40 NE ART 30 NNE BTV 45 ENE BML 70 S EPM.