Jan 15, 2010 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Jan 15 17:38:12 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table (Effective Feb 14, 2006).
Categorical Graphic
20100115 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20100115 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20100115 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20100115 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 151735
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1135 AM CST FRI JAN 15 2010
   
   VALID 151630Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   CORRECTED TSTM LINE
   
   ...DEEP SOUTH TX...
   COMPLEX MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL DIG
   SLOWLY SSEWD THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH LEADING IMPULSE NOW PUSHING
   INTO THE WRN GOM.  SURFACE LOW NOW ALONG OR JUST OFF S PADRE ISLAND
   SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE DAY AS MAIN UPPER SYSTEM
   STILL DIGS ACROSS NRN MEXICO.  THIS SHOULD SUSTAIN SLIGHT OFFSHORE
   FLOW ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TX...WITH MOIST ELY LOW LEVEL FLOW INTO THE
   COASTAL BEND MAINTAINING RAIN AND LIMITED DESTABILIZATION.  
   
   CLEARING SKIES OVER THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY WILL LIKELY ALLOW
   MODEST INSTABILITY AND POTENTIAL FOR A FEW AFTERNOON
   THUNDERSTORMS...WHILE PRIMARY TSTM DEVELOPMENT REMAINS WITHIN MOIST
   PLUME OFFSHORE.  STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND STRONG
   GUSTS...ALTHOUGH OVERALL SEVERE THREAT WILL REMAIN QUITE LOW.
   
   ..EVANS.. 01/15/2010
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z