Mar 6, 2010 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sat Mar 6 16:26:12 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20100306 1630 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20100306 1630 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20100306 1630 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20100306 1630 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 061624
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1024 AM CST SAT MAR 06 2010
   
   VALID 061630Z - 071200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   COLD UPPER LOW WHICH HAS BEEN DROPPING SWD OFF THE CA COAST WILL
   TURN EWD TO JUST W OF LAX/SAN BY 12Z SUN. SLY FLOW ACROSS THE SWRN
   STATES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE  BOTH MOISTURE AND
   INSTABILITY...PARTICULARLY TONIGHT...SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT AT LEAST
   ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  WITH THE UPPER LOW STILL WELL TO
   THE W...CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE WIDELY SCATTERED THRU THE
   PERIOD AND WELL BELOW ANY SEVERE LEVELS.
   
   STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL MOVE ONSHORE SRN CA OVERNIGHT BUT ANY
   INSTABILITY WILL BE PRIMARILY CONFINED TO COASTAL AREAS WWD TO THE
   UPPER LOW CENTER. GIVEN WEAK UPWARD MOTION AND SHEAR...THUNDERSTORMS
   THAT DO OCCUR SHOULD BE LIMITED TO COASTAL REGION.
   
   COLD CORE UPPER LOW NWRN NEB WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN ON TOP OF
   SCENTRAL U.S. RIDGE AS IT MOVES EWD TO IA OVERNIGHT.  SUFFICIENT
   HEATING WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON EWD ACROSS NEB FOR A FEW LOW
   TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN A MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR
   MASS...SPREADING EWD INTO IA AND NRN MO THIS EVENING.
   
   ..HALES/PETERS.. 03/06/2010
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 2000Z