Oct 15, 2010 0600 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Fri Oct 15 04:58:45 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20101015 1200 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20101015 1200 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20101015 1200 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20101015 1200 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 150455
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1155 PM CDT THU OCT 14 2010
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS/FORECAST...
   UPPER LOW OVER NRN GULF OF CA WILL DRIFT NWD INTO THE SONORA DESERT
   ON FRIDAY WITH SEVERAL PVA SPOKES ROTATING ABOUT THE CENTER.  SYSTEM
   WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY 1-1.25 INCH PWATS AND FAIRLY COOL
   MID-TROPOSPHERIC TEMPERATURES OF MINUS 12-14 DEG C /MLCAPES 800-1500
   J PER KG/ OVER SERN CA AND SRN AZ.  EACH SPOKE OF VORTICITY WILL
   LIKELY INDUCE DEEP MOIST CONVECTION OVER THESE REGIONS THROUGHOUT
   THE DAY.  DESPITE WEAK DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...POTENTIAL FOR NEAR SEVERE
   WIND GUSTS AND HAIL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.
   
   ..RACY/GRAMS.. 10/15/2010
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1300Z