Oct 17, 2010 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Oct 17 19:48:48 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20101017 2000 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20101017 2000 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20101017 2000 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20101017 2000 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 171945
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0245 PM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010
   
   VALID 172000Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   A WELL DEFINED UPPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO APPROACH THE
   CNTRL/SRN CA COAST WITH SCATTERED LIGHTNING STRIKES EXTENDING FROM
   OFFSHORE INTO THE SRN GREAT BASIN. RELATIVELY WEAK INSTABILITY
   PROFILES WILL CONTINUE TO FAVOR NON-SEVERE CONVECTION.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 10/17/2010
   
   .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1032 AM CDT SUN OCT 17 2010/
   
   COLD UPPER LOW DEVELOPS JUST OFF CENTRAL CA COAST THIS FORECAST
   PERIOD AND DROPS SWD TO W OF MRY BY 12Z MON. FOR TODAY SWLY FLOW
   CONTAINING CONSIDERABLE MID/UPR LEVEL MOISTURE AND MINIMAL
   INSTABILITY WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE SWRN STATES.  GREATEST POTENTIAL
   FOR MORE THAN JUST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE TIED TO THE HIGHER
   TERRAIN...PARTICULARLY THE SRN SIERRAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
   EVENING.
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z