Dec 28, 2010 1300 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook
Updated: Tue Dec 28 12:42:45 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20101228 1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
20101228 1300 UTC Day 1 Tornado Probabilities Graphic
Torndao Legend Image
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
20101228 1300 UTC Day 1 Damaging Wind Probabilities Graphic
Wind Legend Image
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
20101228 1300 UTC Day 1 Large Hail Probabilities Graphic
Hail Legend Image
   SPC AC 281240
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0640 AM CST TUE DEC 28 2010
   
   VALID 281300Z - 291200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...TX/OK/AR...
   A BROAD UPPER TROUGH OVER NORTHERN MEXICO AND AZ/NM WILL MOVE SLOWLY
   EASTWARD AND ACROSS TX DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD.  SOUTHERLY LOW
   LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH WILL TRANSPORT GULF MOISTURE
   NORTHWARD WITH SURFACE DEWPOINTS CLIMBING INTO THE 50S AS FAR NORTH
   AS THE RED RIVER BY WED MORNING.  INCREASING LOW LEVEL WARM
   ADVECTION AND LIFT WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
   THUNDERSTORMS BY EVENING OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL TX...DEVELOPING
   NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHEAST OK AND SOUTHWEST AR BY 29/12Z.  WEAK LAPSE
   RATES/INSTABILITY SHOULD PRECLUDE SEVERE STORMS.
   
   ...PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST...
   THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH AND STRONG MID/UPPER LEVEL JET WILL BEGIN
   AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST LATER TODAY.  RAPID COOLING
   ALOFT AND STRONG LARGE SCALE FORCING WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF A FEW
   LIGHTNING STRIKES...MAINLY AFTER 29/06Z.
   
   ..HART/SMITH.. 12/28/2010
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 1630Z