SPC AC 061656
DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1056 AM CST SAT FEB 06 2010
VALID 071200Z - 081200Z
...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
...SYNOPSIS...
SPLIT UPPER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO SUNDAY. SEVERAL IMPULSES WILL
ROTATE THROUGH THE MEAN TROUGH OVER ERN NAM...WHILE A SRN STREAM
SHORTWAVE TROUGH ADVANCES THROUGH THE SWRN STATES...REACHING THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS SUNDAY NIGHT.
...SWRN STATES THROUGH WRN TX...
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN LIMITED. HOWEVER...STEEPENING MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES ASSOCIATED WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES ALOFT NORTH OF SRN STREAM
UPPER JET AXIS AND POTENTIAL FOR BOUNDARY LAYER WARMING WILL RESULT
IN WEAK SBCAPE OVER THE SWRN STATES. SCATTERED CONVECTION WITH A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL LIKELY DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF AZ AND NM DURING
THE DAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE ADVANCING SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
OVERNIGHT...STEEPER LAPSE RATES WILL DEVELOP ACROSS WRN TX ABOVE A
MODEST MOIST AXIS CONTRIBUTING TO MARGINAL MUCAPE. A FEW ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE DEVELOPING WARM ADVECTION
REGIME.
..DIAL.. 02/06/2010
CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z
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