Apr 25, 2010 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Sun Apr 25 17:09:49 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20100425 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20100425 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 251708
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1208 PM CDT SUN APR 25 2010
   
   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...MID-ATLANTIC/ERN NC...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SRN APPALACHIAN MTNS
   MONDAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING THE DAY ALONG
   A CORRIDOR OF INSTABILITY IN ERN NC AND ERN VA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   ACROSS THIS AREA AT 21Z MONDAY SHOW MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH
   STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND VEERED LOW-LEVEL FLOW OF ABOUT 30
   KT. THIS ENVIRONMENT SHOULD SUPPORT A MARGINAL WIND DAMAGE THREAT
   MONDAY AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE
   BY LATE AFTERNOON AS STORMS MOVE EWD OUT OF THE APPALACHIAN
   FOOTHILLS INTO THE COASTAL PLAINS.
   
   ...SRN FL...
   A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE IN PLACE MONDAY ACROSS THE ERN
   SEABOARD. ON THE SRN END OF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH...A LOW-LEVEL JET
   IS FORECAST ACROSS THE SRN FL PENINSULA WHERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD
   DEVELOP MONDAY MORNING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS AROUND MIDDAY IN SRN FL
   SHOW MODERATE INSTABILITY...STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND VEERED
   UNIDIRECTIONAL WIND PROFILES SUGGESTING AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
   THREAT COULD DEVELOP DURING THE LATE MORNING. THE STRONGER
   INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE FL KEYS SUGGESTING
   THE SEVERE THREAT ACROSS SRN FL MAY REMAIN MARGINAL.
   
   ...ECNTRL TX...
   WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS MONDAY
   WITH A COLD FRONT FORECAST TO MOVE SEWD ACROSS ECNTRL TX. A FEW 
   THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN THE HOUSTON
   AND AUSTIN AREAS BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WHERE THE NAM DEVELOPS A
   POCKET OF MODERATE INSTABILITY. FORECAST SOUNDINGS IN THIS AREA BY
   00Z SHOW MODERATE DEEP LAYER SHEAR AND STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   SUGGESTING A MARGINAL HAIL THREAT COULD DEVELOP.
   
   ..BROYLES.. 04/25/2010
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z