Nov 8, 2010 1730 UTC Day 2 Convective Outlook
Updated: Mon Nov 8 17:02:57 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20101108 1730 UTC Day 2 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20101108 1730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 081700
   
   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1100 AM CST MON NOV 08 2010
   
   VALID 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...WA/ORE COAST...
   
   EXIT REGION OF A STRONG SPEED MAX WILL OVERSPREAD THE WA/ORE COAST
   DURING THE DAY TUESDAY.  MUCH COLDER MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES WILL
   ENHANCE POST-FRONTAL LAPSE RATES SUCH THAT SCATTERED CONVECTION
   SHOULD BE NOTED WITHIN ONSHORE FLOW REGIME.  FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   SUGGEST CLOUD TOPS SHOULD DEEPEN TO PERHAPS 500MB...LIKELY
   SUFFICIENT FOR LIGHTNING...THUS WILL MAINTAIN A RISK FOR
   THUNDERSTORMS NORTH OF THE MID LEVEL JET AXIS.
   
   ...NERN CO...
   
   WEAK INSTABILITY WILL DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS
   DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADVANCING FRONTAL
   ZONE.  THE MOST LIKELY AREA FOR DEEPER UPDRAFTS WILL BE ACROSS NERN
   CO WHERE STEEP LOW-MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN PLACE BY PEAK
   HEATING.  ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE MAY OCCUR BRIEFLY
   WITH THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS...MEAGER MOISTURE AND MINIMAL COVERAGE
   DO NOT WARRANT A THUNDER OUTLOOK.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/08/2010
   
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   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0700Z