Oct 27, 2010 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook
Updated: Wed Oct 27 06:57:00 UTC 2010
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table
Categorical Graphic
20101027 0730 UTC Day 3 Outlook Graphic
Probabilistic Graphic
20101027 0730 UTC Day Probabilitic Graphic
Probability Legend Image
   SPC AC 270654
   
   DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0154 AM CDT WED OCT 27 2010
   
   VALID 291200Z - 301200Z
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EAST COAST UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TO THE WRN ATLANTIC
   BASIN ON FRIDAY WITH THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH FL AND
   THE GULF OF MEXICO.  A FEW DIURNALLY-ENHANCED THUNDERSTORMS MAY
   ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT IN FL.  BUT...LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN POOR AND
   VERTICAL SHEAR WEAK AND SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   MEANWHILE...TO THE W...THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL DIG TOWARD THE CA
   COAST FRIDAY NIGHT.  00Z/27 ECMWF TIMING IS DECIDEDLY FASTER WITH
   THIS SYSTEM COMPARED TO THE 00Z/27 GFS.  THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT
   A BAND OF GUSTY THUNDERSTORMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE ARRIVAL OF THIS
   IMPULSE ACROSS COASTAL CA AS SYSTEM TAPS 0.75+ INCH PWATS AND 80-90+
   KT H5 JET APPROACHES THE REGION.  HOWEVER...MODEL DIFFERENCES WILL
   PRECLUDE THE ADDITION OF ANY SEVERE PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME.
   
   ..RACY.. 10/27/2010
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z