May 8, 2011 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook | |
Updated: Sun May 8 00:35:07 UTC 2011 | |
Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table |
Categorical Graphic |
---|
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic |
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic |
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point. |
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic |
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point. |
SPC AC 080031 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0731 PM CDT SAT MAY 07 2011 VALID 080100Z - 081200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER OH VALLEY... ...OH VALLEY... SMALL CLUSTER OF SUPERCELLS IS PROPAGATING SWD ALONG THE IL/IND BORDER ALONG ERN FRINGE OF STEEPER LAPSE RATES WHERE BUOYANCY IS SUFFICIENT FOR MAINTAINING SFC-BASED CONVECTION. THIS ACTIVITY WILL ENCOUNTER AN INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AS BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING FORCES TSTMS TO BECOME MORE ELEVATED AND/OR WEAKEN. UNTIL THIS OCCURS IT APPEARS A NARROW WEDGE OF INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH HAIL AT TIMES EXCEEDING SEVERE LEVELS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONALLY...STRONGEST ROTATING TSTM CELLS MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED TORNADOES FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS. ..DARROW.. 05/08/2011 CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z