Categorical Graphic
Probabilistic Tornado Graphic
Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic
Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% of greater probability of wind gusts 65 knots or greater within 25 miles of a point.
Probabilistic Large Hail Graphic
Probability of hail 1" or larger within 25 miles of a point. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of hail 2" or larger within 25 miles of a point.

   SPC AC 250050
   
   DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0650 PM CST THU NOV 24 2011
   
   VALID 250100Z - 251200Z
   
   ...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SERN AZ/SWRN NM...
   
   SHOWERS ARE GRADUALLY SPREADING ACROSS NRN MEXICO INTO SERN AZ/SWRN
   NM WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR AHEAD OF PRIMARY UPPER LOW.  WHILE AIR MASS
   OVER THIS REGION IS NOT PARTICULARLY UNSTABLE EARLY THIS EVENING IT
   APPEARS ELEVATED INSTABILITY SHOULD INCREASE WITH TIME AND A FEW
   EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS MAY SPREAD/DEVELOP ACROSS THE U.S./MEXICAN
   BORDER LATER THIS EVENING.  TOWARD SUNRISE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MAY
   STEEPEN SUFFICIENTLY FOR NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION IMMEDIATELY AHEAD
   OF UPPER LOW ALONG ADVANCING WIND SHIFT.  EVEN SO...ACTIVITY SHOULD
   REMAIN ISOLATED.
   
   ...PACIFIC NW...
   
   THUNDERSTORMS HAVE STRUGGLED TO DEVELOP ALONG THE WA/ORE COAST THIS
   EVENING.  MINIMAL LIGHTNING HAS BEEN DETECTED WITHIN POST FRONTAL
   CONVECTION THE LAST SEVERAL HOURS AND THE PROSPECT FOR MORE THAN ONE
   OR TWO STRIKES APPEARS TOO LOW TO WARRANT A THUNDER RISK THE REST OF
   THE PERIOD.
   
   ..DARROW.. 11/25/2011
   
   CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z